Smith, Will
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.342 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.385 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.363 |
| Observed weight | 49% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Field-coordinate spray profile
140 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.039 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.010 |
| Sample | 212 PA |
positive regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 517 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 19 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.346 | 0.296 to 0.389 | +/- 0.046 |
| ISO | 0.178 | 0.123 to 0.232 | +/- 0.054 |
| Barrel% | 6.8% | 4.5% to 9.0% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 42.8% | 37.0% to 51.1% | +/- 7.0% |
| K% | 20.1% | 16.4% to 24.5% | +/- 4.1% |
| BB% | 10.8% | 8.5% to 14.3% | +/- 2.9% |
| BABIP | 0.285 | 0.257 to 0.333 | +/- 0.038 |
912 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.299 |
| K% | 15.4% |
| BB% | 11.5% |
| Barrel | 6.0% |
2433 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.296 |
| K% | 16.2% |
| BB% | 9.2% |
| Barrel | 5.5% |