Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / SD · 2026
Campusano, Luis
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team SD
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
58
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.305 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.327 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.317 |
| Observed weight | 54% |
xwOBA
0.286
0.301
0.317
0.333
0.348
wOBA
0.347
0.365
0.385
0.406
0.424
ISO
0.132
0.151
0.171
0.191
0.210
K%
16.0%
17.7%
19.5%
21.4%
23.0%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.4%
59
+18 vs proj
Exit velocity87.9
51
Hard-hit%39.5%
56
xBA0.317
49
xSLG0.519
56
xwOBA0.327
74
+29 vs proj
BB%12.4%
90
+62 vs proj
Bat speed70.0
56
K%21.3%
60
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.4 · C
41
Catcher Throwing2.4 · C
90
Framing Runs-4.2 · C
12
Pop Time1.9 · C
46
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.5 · C
10
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.0% · rebadged research
32
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.0% · rebadged research
73
Correct Decisions65.1% · rebadged research
39
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.291 · borderline
42
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
73
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
42
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
32
Resists FastballwOBA 0.374 · validated
10
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.369 · validated
25
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
43
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
122 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.029 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.088 |
| Sample | 258 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 249 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.298 | 0.232 to 0.334 | +/- 0.051 |
| ISO | 0.162 | 0.074 to 0.228 | +/- 0.077 |
| Barrel% | 4.2% | 2.2% to 7.1% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.0% | 30.5% to 48.0% | +/- 8.7% |
| K% | 20.1% | 13.1% to 26.4% | +/- 6.6% |
| BB% | 6.5% | 3.7% to 10.0% | +/- 3.1% |
| BABIP | 0.276 | 0.211 to 0.329 | +/- 0.059 |
vs LHP
188 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.198 |
| K% | 9.5% |
| BB% | 5.1% |
| Barrel | 3.4% |
vs RHP
491 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.195 |
| K% | 10.0% |
| BB% | 4.1% |
| Barrel | 3.0% |