Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / SF · 2026

Knizner, Andrew

Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach

Primary
0.277 xwOBA
Range
0.201 to 0.339
Live Δ
yes
Team SF Archetype Ground-ball contact Age 31 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
24
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
30
Defense4 metrics
18
Speed1 metrics
3
Plate skills10 metrics
41
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.4%
29
Exit velocity86.6
36
Hard-hit%32.3%
24
xBA0.267
10
xSLG0.415
18
xwOBA0.281
26
BB%4.6%
11
Bat speed68.1
31
K%17.2%
82
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.0 · C
22
Catcher Throwing-1.5 · C
16
Framing Runs-2.8 · C
20
Pop Time2.0 · C
14
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.7 · C
3
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 56.9% · rebadged research
13
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.7% · rebadged research
43
Correct Decisions59.2% · rebadged research
6
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.329 · borderline
6
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
65
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
69
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
38
Resists FastballwOBA 0.320 · validated
83
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.345 · validated
76
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline92
14
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Knizner, Andrew · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.281 2026-09-12: 0.2612026-09-13: 0.2612026-09-14: 0.2952026-09-18: 0.2992026-09-19: 0.3002026-09-20: 0.3002026-09-21: 0.2852026-09-22: 0.2882026-09-23: 0.2952026-09-24: 0.2912026-09-25: 0.2912026-09-26: 0.281 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

51 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Knizner, Andrew · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsPull 14%Center field third: 75% of plotted batted ballsCenter 75%Right field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsOppo 12% LF 339 CF 399 RF 309 2026-03-17 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 107.9 / LA 4.02026-03-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.6 / LA -9.02026-03-17 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 86.0 / LA 57.02026-03-19 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.9 / LA -13.02026-03-20 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 72.7 / LA 24.02026-03-20 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 93.8 / LA 44.02026-03-20 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 33.2 / LA 27.02026-08-14 · field out · CH · popup · EV 75.8 / LA 74.02026-08-14 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 106.6 / LA -1.02026-08-22 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.0 / LA 35.02026-08-22 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 88.1 / LA 27.02026-08-22 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 106.3 / LA 5.02026-08-22 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 87.6 / LA 7.02026-08-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.9 / LA -12.02026-08-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 43.02026-08-23 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 89.4 / LA 49.02026-08-23 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 91.4 / LA 14.02026-08-26 · double · ST · fly_ball · EV 73.1 / LA 43.02026-08-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.9 / LA 48.02026-08-29 · field out · FF · popup · EV 49.8 / LA 62.02026-08-29 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 84.6 / LA 44.02026-08-29 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.6 / LA -14.02026-08-31 · fielders choice out · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.2 / LA -14.02026-08-31 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 26.02026-08-31 · field out · FF · popup · EV 87.6 / LA 74.02026-08-31 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 6.02026-09-03 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 28.02026-09-04 · field out · FO · ground_ball · EV 61.3 / LA -17.02026-09-05 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 102.5 / LA 5.02026-09-07 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 87.2 / LA 9.02026-09-07 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.9 / LA -42.02026-09-08 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 92.2 / LA -21.02026-09-08 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 82.3 / LA 28.02026-09-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 61.5 / LA 32.02026-09-11 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 48.2 / LA -34.02026-09-11 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 104.6 / LA 11.02026-09-13 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 105.2 / LA 26.02026-09-13 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 78.6 / LA 25.02026-09-18 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 81.9 / LA 11.02026-09-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 98.4 / LA -8.02026-09-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 35.02026-09-20 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 37.02026-09-21 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.6 / LA 5.02026-09-21 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 66.0 / LA 45.02026-09-22 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 0.02026-09-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.4 / LA 52.02026-09-23 · double · CH · ground_ball · EV 102.2 / LA 4.02026-09-23 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.7 / LA -6.02026-09-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 33.02026-09-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.6 / LA 52.02026-09-25 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 86.7 / LA 37.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Knizner, Andrew · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 39%39%Whiff: 19%19%Zone contact: 85%85%Contact: 81%81%Hard hit: 32%32% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
2
templated note
Age-31 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ--
wOBA Δ--
Sample87 PA
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances259----
Home Runs7----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2770.201 to 0.339+/- 0.069
ISO0.1310.055 to 0.262+/- 0.104
Barrel%3.2%1.3% to 6.5%+/- 2.6%
Hard-Hit%32.6%25.2% to 48.1%+/- 11.4%
K%19.9%16.8% to 31.0%+/- 7.1%
BB%5.4%2.3% to 8.6%+/- 3.1%
BABIP0.2720.214 to 0.340+/- 0.063
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

291 career PA

xwOBA0.165
K%12.9%
BB%2.6%
Barrel2.5%
vs RHP

777 career PA

xwOBA0.160
K%12.8%
BB%3.0%
Barrel1.9%