Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
2
templated note
Age-31 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / SF · 2026
None
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team SF
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 31
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.240 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.308 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.246 |
| Observed weight | 8% |
xwOBA
0.178
0.210
0.246
0.282
0.314
wOBA
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
ISO
0.041
0.082
0.127
0.173
0.213
K%
10.4%
15.5%
21.1%
26.8%
31.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · CF
Limited
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF · small sample regression applied
61
Regression applied
Range Runs0.1 · CF
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 50.0% · rebadged research
4
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 45.5% · rebadged research
1
Correct Decisions59.3% · rebadged research
7
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
51
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339 · validated
53
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358 · validated
45
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline71
2
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
16 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 203 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.265 | 0.124 to 0.270 | +/- 0.073 |
| ISO | 0.111 | 0.018 to 0.204 | +/- 0.093 |
| Barrel% | 3.3% | 0.2% to 4.6% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 31.0% | 11.4% to 38.5% | +/- 13.6% |
| K% | 25.9% | 9.1% to 32.5% | +/- 11.7% |
| BB% | 6.1% | 1.0% to 9.5% | +/- 4.3% |
| BABIP | 0.281 | 0.136 to 0.357 | +/- 0.110 |
vs LHP
42 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.3% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
63 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.3% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |