Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Hitter projection / HOU · 2026
Trammell, Taylor
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team HOU
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
50
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.260 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.285 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.274 |
| Observed weight | 57% |
xwOBA
0.238
0.255
0.274
0.293
0.311
wOBA
0.267
0.283
0.301
0.319
0.336
ISO
0.118
0.138
0.160
0.183
0.203
K%
25.5%
27.4%
29.4%
31.5%
33.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.1%
82
+20 vs proj
Exit velocity87.6
47
Hard-hit%38.5%
51
xBA0.292
21
xSLG0.566
71
xwOBA0.285
30
BB%9.8%
68
Bat speed73.4
91
K%31.5%
11
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.1 · LF
24
Arm Strength86.1 · LF
4
Outs Above Avg2.0 · LF
88
Range Runs-0.0 · LF
45
Baserunning · percentile strip
SB Success Rate80.0% · LF
49
Sprint Speed27.4 · LF
48
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.9% · rebadged research
53
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.7% · rebadged research
55
Correct Decisions66.7% · rebadged research
56
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.273 · borderline
82
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.308 · insufficient sample
6
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.259 · validated thin sample
90
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.342 · insufficient sample
17
Resists FastballwOBA 0.333 · validated
61
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.350 · validated
69
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
55
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
105 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.013 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.004 |
| Sample | 295 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 270 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.298 | 0.196 to 0.341 | +/- 0.072 |
| ISO | 0.162 | 0.054 to 0.241 | +/- 0.093 |
| Barrel% | 5.6% | 1.4% to 7.3% | +/- 2.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 41.0% | 23.6% to 47.9% | +/- 12.1% |
| K% | 33.1% | 21.0% to 36.9% | +/- 8.0% |
| BB% | 10.1% | 4.7% to 12.5% | +/- 3.9% |
| BABIP | 0.267 | 0.170 to 0.339 | +/- 0.085 |
vs LHP
127 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.121 |
| K% | 14.1% |
| BB% | 5.9% |
| Barrel | 1.7% |
vs RHP
429 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.119 |
| K% | 14.8% |
| BB% | 6.3% |
| Barrel | 2.2% |