Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026
Bichette, Bo
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team NYM
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
69
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.347 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.330 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.336 |
| Observed weight | 66% |
xwOBA
0.313
0.324
0.336
0.348
0.358
wOBA
0.302
0.316
0.331
0.347
0.360
ISO
0.120
0.132
0.145
0.158
0.170
K%
14.7%
15.6%
16.7%
17.8%
18.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
51
Exit velocity90.6
81
Hard-hit%45.5%
78
xBA0.352
79
xSLG0.530
56
xwOBA0.330
71
BB%6.7%
27
Bat speed68.3
30
K%17.2%
79
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 3B
60
Arm Strength88.6 · 3B
68
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 3B
77
Range Runs-0.2 · 3B
46
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.9 · 3B
7
Sprint Speed26.0 · 3B
18
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 57.5% · rebadged research
16
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.9% · rebadged research
42
Correct Decisions62.6% · rebadged research
19
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
15
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · borderline
45
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.291 · insufficient sample
17
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280 · validated thin sample
48
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
68
Resists FastballwOBA 0.315 · validated
88
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.324 · validated
96
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
236 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.011 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.009 |
| Sample | 431 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 575 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 16 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.341 | 0.312 to 0.384 | +/- 0.036 |
| ISO | 0.151 | 0.105 to 0.225 | +/- 0.060 |
| Barrel% | 5.5% | 4.0% to 8.0% | +/- 2.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 45.2% | 44.0% to 53.0% | +/- 4.5% |
| K% | 16.3% | 13.4% to 21.8% | +/- 4.2% |
| BB% | 6.1% | 4.7% to 9.0% | +/- 2.2% |
| BABIP | 0.324 | 0.296 to 0.368 | +/- 0.036 |
vs LHP
744 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.306 |
| K% | 12.2% |
| BB% | 5.7% |
| Barrel | 6.2% |
vs RHP
2756 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.292 |
| K% | 14.7% |
| BB% | 5.1% |
| Barrel | 5.0% |