Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026
Bichette, Bo
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team NYM
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
69
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.347 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.331 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.334 |
| Observed weight | 76% |
xwOBA
0.315
0.324
0.334
0.345
0.354
wOBA
0.313
0.323
0.335
0.347
0.358
ISO
0.127
0.136
0.146
0.156
0.165
K%
15.7%
16.5%
17.4%
18.3%
19.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.7%
48
Exit velocity89.7
74
Hard-hit%42.8%
72
xBA0.350
83
xSLG0.529
58
xwOBA0.331
78
BB%7.4%
36
Bat speed68.1
30
K%17.9%
78
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 3B
54
Arm Strength88.6 · 3B
62
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 3B
80
Range Runs0.0 · 3B
54
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-2.5 · 3B
11
Sprint Speed26.1 · 3B
19
SB Success Rate50.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 56.5% · rebadged research
12
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.8% · rebadged research
33
Correct Decisions61.4% · rebadged research
12
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.310 · borderline
16
Resists FastballwOBA 0.333 · validated
61
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.296 · validated
100
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline91
12
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.307 · insufficient sample
7
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.267 · validated thin sample
82
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.354 · insufficient sample
8
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
300 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.010 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.006 |
| Sample | 705 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 575 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 16 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.341 | 0.312 to 0.384 | +/- 0.036 |
| ISO | 0.151 | 0.105 to 0.225 | +/- 0.060 |
| Barrel% | 5.5% | 4.0% to 8.0% | +/- 2.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 45.2% | 44.0% to 53.0% | +/- 4.5% |
| K% | 16.3% | 13.4% to 21.8% | +/- 4.2% |
| BB% | 6.1% | 4.7% to 9.0% | +/- 2.2% |
| BABIP | 0.324 | 0.296 to 0.368 | +/- 0.036 |
vs LHP
744 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.306 |
| K% | 12.2% |
| BB% | 5.7% |
| Barrel | 6.2% |
vs RHP
2756 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.292 |
| K% | 14.7% |
| BB% | 5.1% |
| Barrel | 5.0% |