Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / MIA · 2026
Ruiz, Esteury
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team MIA
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 27
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.306 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.216 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.287 |
| Observed weight | 21% |
xwOBA
0.225
0.255
0.287
0.320
0.349
wOBA
0.218
0.254
0.295
0.335
0.372
ISO
0.089
0.125
0.164
0.204
0.240
K%
19.2%
21.9%
24.8%
27.7%
30.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%5.2%
14
Barrel%3.4%
27
Bat speed69.7
50
Exit velocity82.9
6
Hard-hit%21.1%
4
K%29.3%
15
-22 vs proj
xBA0.232
2
xSLG0.421
21
xwOBA0.216
3
-35 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
45
Arm Runs-0.9 · CF
Limited
Range Runs-0.3 · CF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.4 · CF
88
Bolts6.0 · CF
62
SB Success Rate88.9% · CF
79
Sprint Speed29.9 · CF
98
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.5% · rebadged research
31
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.7% · rebadged research
18
Correct Decisions63.7% · rebadged research
26
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · borderline
29
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
53
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.268 · validated thin sample
74
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
75
Resists FastballwOBA 0.354 · validated
27
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.341 · validated
85
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
16
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
37 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.080 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.002 |
| Sample | 58 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 223 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 5 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.296 | 0.205 to 0.357 | +/- 0.076 |
| ISO | 0.124 | 0.049 to 0.236 | +/- 0.094 |
| Barrel% | 2.9% | 0.9% to 5.7% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 26.9% | 18.8% to 40.3% | +/- 10.8% |
| K% | 23.8% | 18.5% to 32.0% | +/- 6.8% |
| BB% | 5.0% | 3.3% to 8.8% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.300 | 0.240 to 0.368 | +/- 0.064 |
vs LHP
240 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.186 |
| K% | 13.7% |
| BB% | 3.5% |
| Barrel | 2.4% |
vs RHP
433 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.173 |
| K% | 14.4% |
| BB% | 3.2% |
| Barrel | 1.8% |