Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CHC · 2026
Amaya, Miguel
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CHC
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 27
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
41
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.312 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.292 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.301 |
| Observed weight | 55% |
xwOBA
0.275
0.287
0.301
0.315
0.327
wOBA
0.331
0.349
0.369
0.389
0.406
ISO
0.122
0.138
0.155
0.173
0.189
K%
18.8%
20.4%
22.1%
23.9%
25.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.2%
56
+26 vs proj
Exit velocity87.8
49
Hard-hit%36.8%
43
xBA0.294
21
xSLG0.476
42
xwOBA0.292
36
-16 vs proj
BB%8.6%
52
+25 vs proj
Bat speed67.9
28
K%26.1%
32
-43 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.5 · C
36
Catcher Throwing-0.1 · C
53
Framing Runs0.3 · C
58
Pop Time1.9 · C
57
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.4 · C
9
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.7% · rebadged research
57
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.2% · rebadged research
61
Correct Decisions66.8% · rebadged research
57
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · borderline
38
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · insufficient sample
68
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
49
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.328 · insufficient sample
42
Resists FastballwOBA 0.342 · validated
40
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.380 · validated
12
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
60
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
117 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.012 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.065 |
| Sample | 268 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 292 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.304 | 0.268 to 0.347 | +/- 0.039 |
| ISO | 0.129 | 0.083 to 0.215 | +/- 0.066 |
| Barrel% | 3.6% | 1.7% to 6.7% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.1% | 29.8% to 41.9% | +/- 6.1% |
| K% | 18.3% | 14.3% to 26.6% | +/- 6.1% |
| BB% | 6.4% | 4.5% to 9.4% | +/- 2.5% |
| BABIP | 0.279 | 0.237 to 0.324 | +/- 0.043 |
vs LHP
181 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.207 |
| K% | 13.4% |
| BB% | 4.4% |
| Barrel | 3.1% |
vs RHP
481 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.212 |
| K% | 13.0% |
| BB% | 4.1% |
| Barrel | 2.9% |