Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026
Pache, Cristian
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team NYM
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
40
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.254 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.137 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.246 |
| Observed weight | 7% |
xwOBA
0.192
0.218
0.246
0.275
0.301
wOBA
0.546
0.616
0.694
0.771
0.841
ISO
0.049
0.086
0.127
0.168
0.204
K%
22.1%
25.3%
28.8%
32.4%
35.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · LF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
69
Regression applied
Range Runs-0.3 · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.2% · rebadged research
38
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.4% · rebadged research
15
Correct Decisions63.6% · rebadged research
24
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
49
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
54
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.288 · validated thin sample
29
Resists FastballwOBA 0.332 · validated
63
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
22
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
8 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 220 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 5 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.270 | 0.210 to 0.325 | +/- 0.058 |
| ISO | 0.126 | 0.047 to 0.212 | +/- 0.083 |
| Barrel% | 3.5% | 1.1% to 6.6% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 40.2% | 27.6% to 49.7% | +/- 11.1% |
| K% | 28.4% | 21.9% to 36.1% | +/- 7.1% |
| BB% | 8.5% | 5.8% to 12.4% | +/- 3.3% |
| BABIP | 0.306 | 0.220 to 0.350 | +/- 0.065 |
vs LHP
367 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.147 |
| K% | 16.5% |
| BB% | 6.2% |
| Barrel | 1.8% |
vs RHP
400 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.135 |
| K% | 16.8% |
| BB% | 4.9% |
| Barrel | 1.5% |