Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / MIA · 2026

Conine, Griffin

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.299 xwOBA
Range
0.240 to 0.346
Live Δ
--
Team MIA Archetype Balanced regular Age 29 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-16
54
Offense
percentile
Defense1 metrics
67
Speed1 metrics
52
Plate skills10 metrics
53
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-16
xwOBA preseason0.301
xwOBA current pace0.512
xwOBA rolling p500.332
Observed weight14%
xwOBA
0.284 0.306 0.332 0.357 0.379
wOBA
0.449 0.499 0.554 0.609 0.659
ISO
0.133 0.157 0.183 0.209 0.233
K%
19.2% 21.8% 24.8% 27.7% 30.4%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-16
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.0 · LF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
67 Regression applied
Range Runs0.3 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.4 · LF
52
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-06-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.4% · rebadged research
44
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 17.4% · rebadged research
95
Correct Decisions67.8% · rebadged research
66
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.280 · borderline
66
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
45
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
63
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.340 · insufficient sample
29
Resists FastballwOBA 0.355 · validated
24
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.375 · validated
17
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
78
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

26 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Conine, Griffin · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 4% of plotted batted ballsPull 4%Center field third: 77% of plotted batted ballsCenter 77%Right field third: 19% of plotted batted ballsOppo 19% LF 344 CF 400 RF 335 2026-03-15 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 49.6 / LA -39.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 15.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA -31.02026-03-16 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 101.6 / LA -10.02026-03-16 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 64.4 / LA -30.02026-03-20 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 70.1 / LA 39.02026-03-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 53.8 / LA 6.02026-03-21 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 91.6 / LA 15.02026-03-21 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 109.1 / LA 26.02026-03-21 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 95.5 / LA 20.02026-03-27 · force out · CU · ground_ball · EV 84.6 / LA -5.02026-03-28 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 114.4 / LA 1.02026-03-28 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 52.4 / LA 18.02026-03-28 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 109.2 / LA -1.02026-03-30 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 95.8 / LA 12.02026-03-31 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.3 / LA 24.02026-03-31 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 69.5 / LA 14.02026-03-31 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 105.2 / LA 11.02026-04-03 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 36.1 / LA -58.02026-04-04 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 102.4 / LA 25.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 70.3 / LA -17.02026-04-08 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 37.02026-04-08 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 109.8 / LA 25.02026-04-08 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 98.7 / LA 14.02026-04-09 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA -17.02026-04-09 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 106.2 / LA 19.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Conine, Griffin · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 46%46%Chase: 39%39%Whiff: 38%38%Zone contact: 72%72%Contact: 62%62%Hard hit: 54%54% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances263----
Home Runs8----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2990.240 to 0.346+/- 0.053
ISO0.1740.105 to 0.217+/- 0.056
Barrel%5.5%2.1% to 8.1%+/- 3.0%
Hard-Hit%42.0%30.7% to 47.8%+/- 8.6%
K%28.4%19.1% to 31.9%+/- 6.4%
BB%7.6%3.9% to 10.1%+/- 3.1%
BABIP0.3260.259 to 0.380+/- 0.061
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

47 career PA

xwOBA0.119
K%13.2%
BB%3.0%
Barrel2.1%
vs RHP

156 career PA

xwOBA0.128
K%13.4%
BB%3.5%
Barrel2.9%