Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / MIA · 2026
Conine, Griffin
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team MIA
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
92
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.301 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.363 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.338 |
| Observed weight | 60% |
xwOBA
0.309
0.322
0.338
0.353
0.367
wOBA
0.346
0.362
0.380
0.398
0.415
ISO
0.173
0.186
0.202
0.217
0.230
K%
24.3%
25.9%
27.5%
29.2%
30.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.9%
94
+35 vs proj
Exit velocity90.4
83
Hard-hit%48.2%
89
+22 vs proj
xBA0.382
97
xSLG0.738
97
xwOBA0.363
95
+48 vs proj
BB%10.4%
73
+35 vs proj
Bat speed71.9
79
K%29.1%
20
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.0 · RF
27
Arm Strength98.0 · RF
81
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
25
Range Runs-1.0 · RF
38
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.8 · RF
33
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.0% · rebadged research
43
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.4% · rebadged research
69
Correct Decisions65.5% · rebadged research
44
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · borderline
37
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.307 · insufficient sample
6
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.252 · validated thin sample
96
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.314 · insufficient sample
77
Resists FastballwOBA 0.357 · validated
19
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.370 · validated
23
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
51
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
124 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.064 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.081 |
| Sample | 327 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 263 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.299 | 0.240 to 0.346 | +/- 0.053 |
| ISO | 0.174 | 0.105 to 0.217 | +/- 0.056 |
| Barrel% | 5.5% | 2.1% to 8.1% | +/- 3.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 42.0% | 30.7% to 47.8% | +/- 8.6% |
| K% | 28.4% | 19.1% to 31.9% | +/- 6.4% |
| BB% | 7.6% | 3.9% to 10.1% | +/- 3.1% |
| BABIP | 0.326 | 0.259 to 0.380 | +/- 0.061 |
vs LHP
47 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.119 |
| K% | 13.2% |
| BB% | 3.0% |
| Barrel | 2.1% |
vs RHP
156 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.128 |
| K% | 13.4% |
| BB% | 3.5% |
| Barrel | 2.9% |