Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / KC · 2026
Isbel, Kyle
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team KC
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
16
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.289 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.254 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.268 |
| Observed weight | 60% |
xwOBA
0.247
0.257
0.268
0.279
0.289
wOBA
0.270
0.285
0.302
0.319
0.334
ISO
0.104
0.116
0.129
0.142
0.154
K%
18.6%
19.7%
21.1%
22.4%
23.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.8%
9
Exit velocity83.5
10
Hard-hit%33.6%
29
xBA0.298
26
xSLG0.401
13
xwOBA0.254
10
-19 vs proj
BB%5.1%
15
Bat speed66.3
15
K%22.2%
53
-18 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.7 · CF
16
Arm Strength87.5 · CF
8
Outs Above Avg7.0 · CF
97
Range Runs5.1 · CF
86
Baserunning · percentile strip
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
93
Sprint Speed27.3 · CF
47
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.8% · rebadged research
36
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.8% · rebadged research
13
Correct Decisions62.8% · rebadged research
20
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
20
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.281 · borderline
68
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · insufficient sample
43
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.248 · validated thin sample
97
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
33
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
39
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.312 · validated
99
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
202 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.031 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.017 |
| Sample | 334 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 458 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.285 | 0.263 to 0.316 | +/- 0.026 |
| ISO | 0.132 | 0.108 to 0.217 | +/- 0.055 |
| Barrel% | 3.0% | 1.5% to 5.2% | +/- 1.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.3% | 31.5% to 46.5% | +/- 7.5% |
| K% | 19.3% | 16.4% to 25.2% | +/- 4.4% |
| BB% | 6.1% | 4.6% to 9.1% | +/- 2.2% |
| BABIP | 0.292 | 0.253 to 0.349 | +/- 0.048 |
vs LHP
302 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.198 |
| K% | 20.1% |
| BB% | 5.0% |
| Barrel | 1.6% |
vs RHP
1345 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.221 |
| K% | 14.8% |
| BB% | 4.8% |
| Barrel | 2.3% |