Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / HOU · 2026
Salazar, César
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team HOU
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 30
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.277 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.329 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.283 |
| Observed weight | 11% |
xwOBA
0.209
0.244
0.283
0.322
0.356
wOBA
0.179
0.231
0.289
0.346
0.398
ISO
0.001
0.043
0.090
0.136
0.179
K%
12.5%
17.0%
22.1%
27.1%
31.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.3 · C
Limited
Catcher Throwing-0.1 · C
Limited
Framing Runs0.7 · C
Limited
Pop Time2.0 · C
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.4% · rebadged research
59
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.2% · rebadged research
38
Correct Decisions67.5% · rebadged research
64
Mithrandir Stuff+44
0
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
38
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
60
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.321 · insufficient sample
80
Resists FastballwOBA 0.329 · validated
71
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
53
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
16 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 212 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 5 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.283 | 0.159 to 0.322 | +/- 0.082 |
| ISO | 0.089 | 0.007 to 0.207 | +/- 0.100 |
| Barrel% | 1.6% | 0.2% to 4.8% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 22.4% | 6.0% to 38.5% | +/- 16.2% |
| K% | 23.2% | 10.4% to 31.9% | +/- 10.7% |
| BB% | 7.4% | 2.1% to 12.3% | +/- 5.1% |
| BABIP | 0.297 | 0.166 to 0.348 | +/- 0.091 |
vs LHP
26 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.057 |
| K% | 5.1% |
| BB% | 1.6% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
68 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.064 |
| K% | 4.4% |
| BB% | 2.2% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |