Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projected to do more damage vs lefties (0.250 vs 0.215 xwOBA split).
Hitter projection / BOS · 2026
Gonzalez, Romy
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team BOS
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 30
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
43
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.304 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.289 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.300 |
| Observed weight | 25% |
xwOBA
0.267
0.283
0.300
0.317
0.333
wOBA
0.206
0.238
0.273
0.308
0.340
ISO
0.096
0.116
0.138
0.160
0.180
K%
21.8%
23.7%
25.8%
27.9%
29.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.7%
20
-41 vs proj
Exit velocity86.1
31
Hard-hit%37.8%
48
-41 vs proj
xBA0.342
76
xSLG0.494
49
xwOBA0.289
34
-28 vs proj
BB%6.8%
31
+15 vs proj
Bat speed70.0
55
K%28.8%
21
-27 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
47
Range Runs0.3 · 2B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.9 · DH
35
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 50.0% · rebadged research
4
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 15.4% · rebadged research
97
Correct Decisions60.6% · rebadged research
9
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
71
Resists FastballwOBA 0.344 · validated
38
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360 · validated
41
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
25
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
253 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.025 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.041 |
| Sample | 73 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 400 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 13 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.314 | 0.270 to 0.345 | +/- 0.038 |
| ISO | 0.135 | 0.115 to 0.222 | +/- 0.054 |
| Barrel% | 5.5% | 4.1% to 8.3% | +/- 2.1% |
| Hard-Hit% | 47.9% | 42.1% to 54.8% | +/- 6.4% |
| K% | 23.4% | 20.8% to 30.4% | +/- 4.8% |
| BB% | 5.3% | 3.6% to 8.5% | +/- 2.4% |
| BABIP | 0.328 | 0.266 to 0.378 | +/- 0.056 |
vs LHP
390 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.250 |
| K% | 18.8% |
| BB% | 4.4% |
| Barrel | 6.1% |
vs RHP
491 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.215 |
| K% | 19.7% |
| BB% | 2.9% |
| Barrel | 4.4% |