Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026
Bart, Joey
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CWS
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 30
Status IL-10
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
36
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.283 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.295 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.287 |
| Observed weight | 39% |
xwOBA
0.258
0.272
0.287
0.303
0.317
wOBA
0.287
0.311
0.338
0.365
0.389
ISO
0.087
0.105
0.126
0.147
0.166
K%
22.9%
24.8%
27.0%
29.2%
31.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.3%
41
Exit velocity85.5
24
Hard-hit%34.1%
32
xBA0.295
24
xSLG0.527
58
xwOBA0.295
41
BB%5.0%
14
-42 vs proj
Bat speed73.1
90
K%29.8%
17
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.2 · C
62
Catcher Throwing1.1 · C
73
Framing Runs-2.5 · C
24
Pop Time1.9 · C
46
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.6 · C
28
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.9% · rebadged research
42
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.0% · rebadged research
52
Correct Decisions64.6% · rebadged research
33
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.298 · borderline
32
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.288 · insufficient sample
28
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292 · validated thin sample
24
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.317 · insufficient sample
73
Resists FastballwOBA 0.322 · validated
80
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
54
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
43
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
56 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.006 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.050 |
| Sample | 141 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 406 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.288 | 0.256 to 0.330 | +/- 0.037 |
| ISO | 0.123 | 0.088 to 0.209 | +/- 0.060 |
| Barrel% | 4.7% | 3.3% to 7.7% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.3% | 32.8% to 45.5% | +/- 6.4% |
| K% | 28.0% | 19.5% to 31.4% | +/- 6.0% |
| BB% | 8.9% | 6.7% to 11.8% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.302 | 0.253 to 0.362 | +/- 0.054 |
vs LHP
363 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.245 |
| K% | 19.6% |
| BB% | 7.8% |
| Barrel | 4.1% |
vs RHP
846 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.226 |
| K% | 19.9% |
| BB% | 7.5% |
| Barrel | 4.1% |