Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / KC · 2026
India, Jonathan
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team KC
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 30
Status IL-10
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.322 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.285 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.312 |
| Observed weight | 25% |
xwOBA
0.275
0.293
0.312
0.332
0.350
wOBA
0.258
0.291
0.328
0.366
0.399
ISO
0.100
0.123
0.149
0.175
0.198
K%
17.3%
19.0%
20.8%
22.7%
24.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%13.7%
90
+32 vs proj
Barrel%4.1%
36
Bat speed68.1
29
Exit velocity85.5
18
Hard-hit%35.6%
30
K%21.9%
49
-15 vs proj
xBA0.237
3
xSLG0.396
15
xwOBA0.285
27
-37 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · 2B
16
Range Runs-1.5 · 2B
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.7 · 2B
61
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 78.4% · rebadged research
98
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.3% · rebadged research
60
Correct Decisions72.6% · rebadged research
94
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.270 · borderline
83
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
30
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.322 · insufficient sample
80
Resists FastballwOBA 0.354 · validated
27
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
59
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
95
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
45 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.041 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.003 |
| Sample | 73 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 560 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 13 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.325 | 0.285 to 0.374 | +/- 0.044 |
| ISO | 0.152 | 0.110 to 0.236 | +/- 0.063 |
| Barrel% | 4.7% | 2.8% to 7.4% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 38.4% | 34.4% to 45.1% | +/- 5.4% |
| K% | 19.4% | 16.7% to 25.0% | +/- 4.2% |
| BB% | 9.3% | 7.6% to 12.6% | +/- 2.5% |
| BABIP | 0.293 | 0.271 to 0.340 | +/- 0.035 |
vs LHP
743 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.283 |
| K% | 18.0% |
| BB% | 9.8% |
| Barrel | 4.0% |
vs RHP
2212 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.282 |
| K% | 16.4% |
| BB% | 8.5% |
| Barrel | 3.8% |