Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026
Senger, Hayden
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team NYM
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.274 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.206 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.269 |
| Observed weight | 8% |
xwOBA
0.213
0.240
0.269
0.298
0.325
wOBA
0.220
0.287
0.362
0.436
0.503
ISO
0.046
0.086
0.130
0.175
0.215
K%
15.9%
19.9%
24.5%
29.0%
33.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.0 · C
Limited
Catcher Throwing-0.1 · C
Limited
Framing Runs-0.3 · C
Limited
Pop Time1.9 · C
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.3 · C
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 55.6% · rebadged research
13
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.1% · rebadged research
70
Correct Decisions66.7% · rebadged research
54
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.281 · borderline
59
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · insufficient sample
35
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
54
Resists FastballwOBA 0.335 · validated
58
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.347 · validated
74
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
16
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
10 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 245 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.303 | 0.184 to 0.303 | +/- 0.060 |
| ISO | 0.134 | 0.028 to 0.211 | +/- 0.091 |
| Barrel% | 4.5% | 0.8% to 5.9% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 38.4% | 23.3% to 41.0% | +/- 8.9% |
| K% | 23.3% | 14.7% to 33.3% | +/- 9.3% |
| BB% | 5.9% | 0.5% to 8.7% | +/- 4.1% |
| BABIP | 0.291 | 0.213 to 0.342 | +/- 0.065 |
vs LHP
27 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.073 |
| K% | 7.6% |
| BB% | 1.0% |
| Barrel | 1.0% |
vs RHP
79 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.070 |
| K% | 7.6% |
| BB% | 0.9% |
| Barrel | 0.9% |