Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Age-31 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026
Moncada, Yoán
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team LAA
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 31
Status IL-60
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
46
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.308 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.269 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.292 |
| Observed weight | 40% |
xwOBA
0.252
0.271
0.292
0.313
0.332
wOBA
0.288
0.312
0.338
0.365
0.388
ISO
0.084
0.107
0.132
0.158
0.180
K%
26.1%
28.1%
30.4%
32.6%
34.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.1%
35
Exit velocity91.2
87
Hard-hit%45.7%
79
+33 vs proj
xBA0.288
20
xSLG0.487
41
xwOBA0.269
16
-27 vs proj
BB%14.3%
94
+56 vs proj
Bat speed70.3
60
K%35.4%
3
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-6.0 · 3B
5
Range Runs-4.2 · 3B
14
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.4 · 3B
25
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.0% · rebadged research
88
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.3% · rebadged research
13
Correct Decisions65.8% · rebadged research
45
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.256 · borderline
96
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.300 · insufficient sample
9
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.263 · validated thin sample
90
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.346 · insufficient sample
20
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339 · validated
49
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.344 · validated
85
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
60
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
72 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.030 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.039 |
| Sample | 147 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 351 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 12 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.299 | 0.250 to 0.368 | +/- 0.059 |
| ISO | 0.142 | 0.087 to 0.241 | +/- 0.077 |
| Barrel% | 5.1% | 3.5% to 8.5% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 38.2% | 32.0% to 50.8% | +/- 9.4% |
| K% | 29.1% | 21.6% to 34.1% | +/- 6.2% |
| BB% | 7.7% | 5.6% to 11.1% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.294 | 0.250 to 0.350 | +/- 0.050 |
vs LHP
845 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.219 |
| K% | 18.8% |
| BB% | 5.9% |
| Barrel | 3.4% |
vs RHP
2742 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.220 |
| K% | 20.0% |
| BB% | 6.2% |
| Barrel | 5.1% |