Smith, Pavin
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.314 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.262 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.309 |
| Observed weight | 9% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Field-coordinate spray profile
15 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 373 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 12 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.304 | 0.278 to 0.369 | +/- 0.046 |
| ISO | 0.165 | 0.097 to 0.257 | +/- 0.080 |
| Barrel% | 5.9% | 3.7% to 8.7% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 41.5% | 35.5% to 50.4% | +/- 7.4% |
| K% | 26.7% | 18.8% to 32.7% | +/- 6.9% |
| BB% | 11.1% | 9.0% to 15.1% | +/- 3.1% |
| BABIP | 0.288 | 0.238 to 0.341 | +/- 0.052 |
349 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.212 |
| K% | 19.1% |
| BB% | 8.9% |
| Barrel | 3.4% |
1321 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.246 |
| K% | 17.9% |
| BB% | 9.9% |
| Barrel | 5.0% |