Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / BAL · 2026
Pozo, Yohel
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team BAL
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
14
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.314 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.252 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.298 |
| Observed weight | 25% |
xwOBA
0.243
0.269
0.298
0.327
0.353
wOBA
0.266
0.299
0.336
0.373
0.406
ISO
0.065
0.092
0.121
0.151
0.178
K%
10.0%
12.6%
15.5%
18.5%
21.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.3%
5
-19 vs proj
Exit velocity85.9
28
Hard-hit%25.8%
9
-26 vs proj
xBA0.298
26
xSLG0.369
6
xwOBA0.252
10
-48 vs proj
BB%1.3%
1
-32 vs proj
Bat speed67.7
27
K%16.0%
86
Defense · percentile strip
Pop Time2.0 · C
8
Blocking Runs0.5 · C
Small sample
Catcher Throwing0.1 · C
Small sample
Framing Runs-1.6 · C
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.5 · C
2
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 46.5% · rebadged research
2
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.9% · rebadged research
13
Correct Decisions57.7% · rebadged research
4
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.270 · borderline
86
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
65
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.300 · validated thin sample
14
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
35
Resists FastballwOBA 0.350 · validated
27
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.350 · validated
70
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline78
3
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
52 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.059 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.025 |
| Sample | 75 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 286 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.311 | 0.223 to 0.364 | +/- 0.070 |
| ISO | 0.145 | 0.070 to 0.219 | +/- 0.075 |
| Barrel% | 3.1% | 0.2% to 5.5% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 35.1% | 23.5% to 44.5% | +/- 10.5% |
| K% | 15.4% | 10.3% to 24.7% | +/- 7.2% |
| BB% | 7.0% | 1.8% to 9.8% | +/- 4.0% |
| BABIP | 0.274 | 0.232 to 0.334 | +/- 0.051 |
vs LHP
71 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.119 |
| K% | 5.4% |
| BB% | 1.9% |
| Barrel | 0.8% |
vs RHP
188 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.113 |
| K% | 5.4% |
| BB% | 1.7% |
| Barrel | 0.8% |