Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Hitter projection / DET · 2026
Torres, Gleyber
On-base driven regular with stable floor
Team DET
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 30
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
46
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.342 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.342 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.342 |
| Observed weight | 48% |
xwOBA
0.311
0.326
0.342
0.359
0.374
wOBA
0.344
0.365
0.388
0.411
0.432
ISO
0.110
0.126
0.144
0.161
0.177
K%
16.1%
17.3%
18.7%
20.1%
21.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.4%
55
Exit velocity85.5
21
Hard-hit%32.6%
24
-28 vs proj
xBA0.323
52
xSLG0.495
44
xwOBA0.342
80
BB%14.9%
97
+29 vs proj
Bat speed66.3
13
K%18.3%
73
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength78.6 · 2B
4
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
43
Range Runs0.1 · 2B
49
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.1 · 2B
6
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 76.2% · rebadged research
95
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.8% · rebadged research
64
Correct Decisions70.9% · rebadged research
89
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.310 · borderline
14
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
50
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
66
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.321 · insufficient sample
80
Resists FastballwOBA 0.340 · validated
46
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.374 · validated
17
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline111
93
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
107 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.000 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.046 |
| Sample | 202 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 620 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 17 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.343 | 0.306 to 0.396 | +/- 0.045 |
| ISO | 0.156 | 0.113 to 0.231 | +/- 0.059 |
| Barrel% | 5.4% | 3.6% to 7.6% | +/- 2.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 39.6% | 36.1% to 47.5% | +/- 5.7% |
| K% | 18.6% | 15.4% to 23.1% | +/- 3.9% |
| BB% | 10.2% | 8.6% to 13.8% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.297 | 0.276 to 0.346 | +/- 0.035 |
vs LHP
1193 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.320 |
| K% | 15.4% |
| BB% | 11.8% |
| Barrel | 5.0% |
vs RHP
3493 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.299 |
| K% | 15.5% |
| BB% | 9.3% |
| Barrel | 4.3% |