Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / NYY · 2026

Sánchez, Ali

Middle-order power profile with real damage

Primary
0.278 xwOBA
Range
0.135 to 0.350
Live Δ
--
Team NYY Archetype Impact slugger Age 29 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
67
Offense
percentile
Defense3 metrics
68
Speed1 metrics
14
Plate skills8 metrics
73
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
xwOBA preseason0.238
xwOBA current pace0.286
xwOBA rolling p500.246
Observed weight16%
xwOBA
0.154 0.197 0.246 0.294 0.337
wOBA
0.257 0.303 0.353 0.403 0.448
ISO
0.013 0.052 0.096 0.140 0.179
K%
17.1% 22.0% 27.5% 33.0% 38.0%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.3 · C
68
Catcher Throwing-0.0 · C
51
Framing Runs3.0 · C
85
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.8 · C
14
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-07-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.0% · rebadged research
93
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 14.3% · rebadged research
98
Correct Decisions78.6% · rebadged research
99
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
54
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.288 · validated thin sample
28
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339 · validated
48
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.353 · validated
67
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline119
98
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

13 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Sánchez, Ali · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsPull 15%Center field third: 77% of plotted batted ballsCenter 77%Right field third: 8% of plotted batted ballsOppo 8% LF 318 CF 408 RF 314 2026-03-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.8 / LA -13.02026-03-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.3 / LA -7.02026-03-19 · sac fly · SL · fly_ball · EV 100.0 / LA 35.02026-03-19 · double play · SL · fly_ball · EV 106.6 / LA 22.02026-03-20 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 101.8 / LA 22.02026-06-07 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.6 / LA -8.02026-06-20 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 102.6 / LA 10.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · popup · EV 53.5 / LA 36.02026-06-22 · double · CH · ground_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 5.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 74.4 / LA 16.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 81.6 / LA 44.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.8 / LA 44.02026-06-30 · fielders choice · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.1 / LA -12.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Sánchez, Ali · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 51%51%Chase: 32%32%Whiff: 29%29%Zone contact: 72%72%Contact: 71%71%Hard hit: 28%28% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances224----
Home Runs5----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2780.135 to 0.350+/- 0.108
ISO0.1160.015 to 0.212+/- 0.098
Barrel%4.5%1.1% to 7.0%+/- 2.9%
Hard-Hit%35.9%18.7% to 42.6%+/- 11.9%
K%25.2%15.3% to 39.9%+/- 12.3%
BB%5.2%0.7% to 9.8%+/- 4.6%
BABIP0.2830.178 to 0.352+/- 0.087
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

47 career PA

xwOBA0.072
K%8.0%
BB%1.3%
Barrel1.8%
vs RHP

118 career PA

xwOBA0.067
K%8.8%
BB%1.1%
Barrel1.5%