Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / SEA · 2026
Robles, Victor
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team SEA
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
12
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.290 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.266 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.281 |
| Observed weight | 36% |
xwOBA
0.243
0.261
0.281
0.301
0.319
wOBA
0.257
0.282
0.310
0.339
0.364
ISO
0.074
0.095
0.120
0.144
0.166
K%
13.5%
15.5%
17.7%
19.9%
21.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.5%
16
Exit velocity84.7
14
Hard-hit%22.8%
5
xBA0.275
11
xSLG0.392
10
xwOBA0.266
15
-16 vs proj
BB%4.9%
13
Bat speed64.6
5
K%17.2%
79
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.9 · RF
79
Arm Strength97.3 · RF
84
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
22
Range Runs0.8 · RF
56
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts7.0 · RF
61
SB Success Rate83.3% · RF
57
Sprint Speed28.7 · RF
86
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.0% · rebadged research
32
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.9% · rebadged research
78
Correct Decisions66.2% · rebadged research
51
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
61
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
54
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
57
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
72
Resists FastballwOBA 0.340 · validated
47
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.364 · validated
36
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
47
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
38 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.023 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.021 |
| Sample | 122 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 320 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.289 | 0.241 to 0.346 | +/- 0.052 |
| ISO | 0.112 | 0.054 to 0.194 | +/- 0.070 |
| Barrel% | 3.3% | 1.8% to 6.1% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 27.4% | 24.2% to 38.2% | +/- 7.0% |
| K% | 18.8% | 14.1% to 26.2% | +/- 6.0% |
| BB% | 6.4% | 3.5% to 9.9% | +/- 3.2% |
| BABIP | 0.303 | 0.249 to 0.357 | +/- 0.054 |
vs LHP
741 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.210 |
| K% | 11.5% |
| BB% | 5.1% |
| Barrel | 3.3% |
vs RHP
1707 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.206 |
| K% | 13.2% |
| BB% | 4.5% |
| Barrel | 2.7% |