Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projected to do more damage vs lefties (0.183 vs 0.153 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Age-32 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / SEA · 2026
Wilson, Weston
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team SEA
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 32
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
21
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.295 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.255 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.276 |
| Observed weight | 46% |
xwOBA
0.242
0.258
0.276
0.294
0.310
wOBA
0.250
0.270
0.292
0.314
0.334
ISO
0.094
0.113
0.133
0.153
0.172
K%
23.6%
25.7%
28.0%
30.3%
32.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.1%
13
-45 vs proj
Exit velocity85.4
23
Hard-hit%33.0%
27
-37 vs proj
xBA0.296
25
xSLG0.433
25
xwOBA0.255
11
-24 vs proj
BB%9.5%
63
Bat speed69.1
42
K%31.1%
13
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 3B
44
Arm Strength84.0 · 3B
24
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
47
Range Runs-7.4 · 3B
6
Baserunning · percentile strip
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
93
Sprint Speed27.8 · 3B
59
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.8% · rebadged research
73
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.1% · rebadged research
24
Correct Decisions67.8% · rebadged research
68
Fastball Stuff+70
0
Mithrandir Stuff+64
2
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.285 · borderline
60
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
60
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
48
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.329 · insufficient sample
40
Resists FastballwOBA 0.345 · validated
36
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352 · validated
63
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
57
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
72 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.035 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.002 |
| Sample | 190 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 274 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.290 | 0.224 to 0.331 | +/- 0.053 |
| ISO | 0.168 | 0.070 to 0.206 | +/- 0.068 |
| Barrel% | 5.4% | 2.3% to 7.4% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 41.3% | 28.9% to 47.0% | +/- 9.1% |
| K% | 26.6% | 19.7% to 34.2% | +/- 7.2% |
| BB% | 8.3% | 5.1% to 12.2% | +/- 3.6% |
| BABIP | 0.278 | 0.199 to 0.342 | +/- 0.071 |
vs LHP
161 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.183 |
| K% | 14.5% |
| BB% | 5.8% |
| Barrel | 3.8% |
vs RHP
137 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.153 |
| K% | 14.6% |
| BB% | 4.6% |
| Barrel | 2.5% |