Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-32 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / ATL · 2026
White, Eli
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team ATL
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 32
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.287 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.283 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.286 |
| Observed weight | 28% |
xwOBA
0.225
0.254
0.286
0.318
0.347
wOBA
0.356
0.388
0.424
0.460
0.493
ISO
0.113
0.137
0.164
0.191
0.216
K%
20.5%
22.5%
24.7%
26.9%
28.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%4.7%
12
Barrel%7.1%
75
+35 vs proj
Bat speed71.1
73
Exit velocity85.4
17
Hard-hit%33.9%
26
K%17.6%
76
+42 vs proj
xBA0.316
41
xSLG0.435
25
xwOBA0.283
26
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg1.0 · LF
80
Arm Runs-0.6 · LF
Limited
Range Runs0.3 · LF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts23.0 · RF
90
Sprint Speed30.4 · RF
100
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.5% · rebadged research
31
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.2% · rebadged research
49
Correct Decisions64.2% · rebadged research
31
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.298 · borderline
24
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.289 · insufficient sample
18
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.270 · validated thin sample
69
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.315 · insufficient sample
90
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348 · validated
34
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.349 · validated
71
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
32
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
63 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.004 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.138 |
| Sample | 85 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 353 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.286 | 0.217 to 0.379 | +/- 0.081 |
| ISO | 0.136 | 0.083 to 0.219 | +/- 0.068 |
| Barrel% | 4.4% | 2.4% to 7.5% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.0% | 28.5% to 49.7% | +/- 10.6% |
| K% | 24.8% | 20.7% to 31.7% | +/- 5.5% |
| BB% | 4.7% | 3.0% to 7.7% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.282 | 0.217 to 0.339 | +/- 0.061 |
vs LHP
308 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.190 |
| K% | 15.6% |
| BB% | 3.1% |
| Barrel | 3.6% |
vs RHP
507 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.172 |
| K% | 17.3% |
| BB% | 2.3% |
| Barrel | 3.0% |