Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-32 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / ATL · 2026
White, Eli
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team ATL
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 32
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
32
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.287 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.281 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.285 |
| Observed weight | 38% |
xwOBA
0.231
0.256
0.285
0.313
0.338
wOBA
0.348
0.374
0.402
0.430
0.456
ISO
0.125
0.146
0.170
0.194
0.215
K%
21.0%
22.8%
24.8%
26.8%
28.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
52
Exit velocity86.1
28
Hard-hit%34.0%
28
xBA0.310
36
xSLG0.443
26
xwOBA0.281
24
BB%6.6%
27
+15 vs proj
Bat speed70.6
65
K%20.6%
61
+24 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.1 · RF
84
Arm Strength95.3 · RF
67
Outs Above Avg2.0 · RF
90
Range Runs1.8 · RF
74
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts34.0 · RF
92
Sprint Speed30.3 · RF
100
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.3% · rebadged research
29
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.0% · rebadged research
61
Correct Decisions64.4% · rebadged research
32
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.302 · borderline
21
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.291 · insufficient sample
18
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
69
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.315 · insufficient sample
88
Resists FastballwOBA 0.336 · validated
56
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.348 · validated
78
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
35
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
67 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.006 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.116 |
| Sample | 136 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 353 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.286 | 0.217 to 0.379 | +/- 0.081 |
| ISO | 0.136 | 0.083 to 0.219 | +/- 0.068 |
| Barrel% | 4.4% | 2.4% to 7.5% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.0% | 28.5% to 49.7% | +/- 10.6% |
| K% | 24.8% | 20.7% to 31.7% | +/- 5.5% |
| BB% | 4.7% | 3.0% to 7.7% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.282 | 0.217 to 0.339 | +/- 0.061 |
vs LHP
308 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.190 |
| K% | 15.6% |
| BB% | 3.1% |
| Barrel | 3.6% |
vs RHP
507 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.172 |
| K% | 17.3% |
| BB% | 2.3% |
| Barrel | 3.0% |