Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / SEA · 2026
Pereda, Jhonny
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team SEA
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 30
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
69
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.255 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.341 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.283 |
| Observed weight | 32% |
xwOBA
0.235
0.258
0.283
0.308
0.331
wOBA
0.298
0.327
0.358
0.390
0.418
ISO
0.041
0.068
0.098
0.128
0.155
K%
17.4%
20.4%
23.8%
27.2%
30.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.9%
11
-41 vs proj
Exit velocity90.2
81
Hard-hit%47.2%
88
+40 vs proj
xBA0.381
96
xSLG0.502
52
xwOBA0.341
86
+65 vs proj
BB%7.6%
40
+18 vs proj
Bat speed69.1
43
K%21.0%
61
+33 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.3 · C
64
Catcher Throwing0.2 · C
59
Framing Runs-1.1 · C
38
Pop Time2.0 · C
22
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.6 · C
3
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.1% · rebadged research
68
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.6% · rebadged research
78
Correct Decisions69.2% · rebadged research
80
Mithrandir Stuff+74
4
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · borderline
25
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · insufficient sample
36
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277 · validated thin sample
59
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
46
Resists FastballwOBA 0.335 · validated
55
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
50
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
80
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
47 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.069 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.086 |
| Sample | 105 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 251 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 5 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.272 | 0.164 to 0.294 | +/- 0.065 |
| ISO | 0.132 | 0.048 to 0.214 | +/- 0.083 |
| Barrel% | 4.9% | 1.1% to 6.8% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.8% | 23.9% to 46.1% | +/- 11.1% |
| K% | 26.7% | 16.5% to 35.0% | +/- 9.2% |
| BB% | 5.9% | 2.1% to 8.5% | +/- 3.2% |
| BABIP | 0.291 | 0.217 to 0.367 | +/- 0.075 |
vs LHP
43 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.088 |
| K% | 9.6% |
| BB% | 2.3% |
| Barrel | 1.7% |
vs RHP
104 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.086 |
| K% | 10.2% |
| BB% | 2.0% |
| Barrel | 1.4% |