Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / PHI · 2026

Sosa, Edmundo

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.303 xwOBA
Range
0.244 to 0.345
Live Δ
yes
Team PHI Archetype Balanced regular Age 30 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
68
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
61
Defense4 metrics
47
Speed2 metrics
75
Plate skills10 metrics
32
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.304
xwOBA current pace0.327
xwOBA rolling p500.316
Observed weight54%
xwOBA
0.286 0.300 0.316 0.333 0.347
wOBA
0.299 0.316 0.336 0.356 0.374
ISO
0.130 0.146 0.165 0.183 0.199
K%
18.5% 20.2% 22.0% 23.8% 25.5%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.7%
64 +27 vs proj
Exit velocity87.9
50
Hard-hit%39.8%
57 +20 vs proj
xBA0.359
88
xSLG0.578
75
xwOBA0.327
75 +24 vs proj
BB%2.7%
3
Bat speed71.3
74
K%21.1%
61
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.9 · LF
28
Arm Strength84.8 · LF
1
Outs Above Avg1.0 · LF
80
Range Runs3.1 · LF
78
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts12.0 · LF
66
Sprint Speed28.7 · LF
84
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 47.3% · rebadged research
3
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.6% · rebadged research
26
Correct Decisions57.4% · rebadged research
4
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
47
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.300 · insufficient sample
12
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.311 · validated thin sample
6
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.304 · insufficient sample
90
Resists FastballwOBA 0.345 · validated
36
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.317 · validated
98
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline81
3
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Sosa, Edmundo · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.327 2026-09-12: 0.3292026-09-13: 0.3282026-09-14: 0.3282026-09-18: 0.3282026-09-19: 0.3322026-09-20: 0.3322026-09-21: 0.3312026-09-22: 0.3312026-09-23: 0.3312026-09-24: 0.3312026-09-25: 0.3312026-09-26: 0.327 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

Edmundo Sosa's production (87) outpaces the tools grade (84) by 3 points. Primary finding: excellent plate discipline but too passive on hittable pitches — letting strikes go by.

See full optimization →

See the swing in 3D →

Passive In-Zone Approach
Pass Attack Pass Attack Attack Attack Pass Attack Pass

Increase in-zone swing rate, especially on fastballs in favorable counts

Hittable takes / Expansion guardrail
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

132 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Sosa, Edmundo · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 11% of plotted batted ballsPull 11%Center field third: 77% of plotted batted ballsCenter 77%Right field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsOppo 13% LF 329 CF 401 RF 330 2026-03-16 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 92.6 / LA 23.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.1 / LA -20.02026-03-16 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 93.7 / LA 14.02026-03-17 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 109.3 / LA 16.02026-03-17 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 78.0 / LA 31.02026-03-19 · field error · FC · ground_ball · EV 80.1 / LA -7.02026-03-19 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 66.9 / LA -13.02026-03-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA -4.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 72.6 / LA 42.02026-03-20 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 1.02026-03-22 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA -1.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.4 / LA 0.02026-03-23 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 110.9 / LA 18.02026-03-29 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 70.6 / LA -7.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 71.6 / LA -8.02026-03-30 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 101.4 / LA 9.02026-03-30 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.9 / LA -5.02026-04-01 · force out · CU · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA -8.02026-04-01 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 90.6 / LA 13.02026-04-03 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 90.7 / LA -7.02026-04-07 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 108.0 / LA 14.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.5 / LA 22.02026-04-07 · field out · SL · popup · EV 83.9 / LA 63.02026-04-13 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.3 / LA -11.02026-04-14 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 105.7 / LA 28.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.0 / LA 57.02026-04-14 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 90.7 / LA 21.02026-04-14 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 88.7 / LA -11.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 60.7 / LA -68.02026-04-15 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 107.4 / LA 7.02026-04-17 · field out · FC · popup · EV 79.5 / LA 76.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 79.8 / LA -11.02026-04-17 · field out · CH · popup · EV 78.9 / LA 74.02026-04-18 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 53.0 / LA -62.02026-04-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 75.8 / LA 3.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.8 / LA -11.02026-04-21 · force out · FS · ground_ball · EV 82.8 / LA 0.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 28.02026-04-22 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 107.6 / LA 13.02026-04-22 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 111.6 / LA 6.02026-04-23 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 107.8 / LA 4.02026-04-23 · field out · SI · popup · EV 61.7 / LA 26.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.1 / LA 20.02026-04-30 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 91.4 / LA 12.02026-04-30 · fielders choice out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.5 / LA 2.02026-04-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.9 / LA -8.02026-04-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 69.7 / LA 0.02026-05-01 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 89.6 / LA 16.02026-05-01 · field out · ST · popup · EV 76.1 / LA 56.02026-05-01 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 101.4 / LA 14.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.3 / LA 6.02026-05-06 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 101.3 / LA 9.02026-05-06 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 63.0 / LA -61.02026-05-06 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.5 / LA 7.02026-05-07 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 88.1 / LA -29.02026-05-07 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 60.9 / LA -49.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.8 / LA 7.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 28.4 / LA -63.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.7 / LA -8.02026-05-08 · field out · ST · popup · EV 47.9 / LA 53.02026-05-08 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 92.5 / LA 17.02026-05-09 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA -8.02026-05-09 · field error · CH · ground_ball · EV 85.5 / LA 6.02026-05-09 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 70.9 / LA 22.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · popup · EV 68.3 / LA 83.02026-05-13 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 84.0 / LA 13.02026-05-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.0 / LA -17.02026-05-15 · field error · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 1.02026-05-18 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 28.02026-05-18 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 79.6 / LA -61.02026-05-19 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA 0.02026-05-20 · double play · FF · line_drive · EV 83.9 / LA 13.02026-05-20 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 106.7 / LA 26.02026-05-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -7.02026-05-24 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 95.3 / LA 24.02026-05-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 72.0 / LA -39.02026-05-26 · field out · SI · popup · EV 53.5 / LA 75.02026-05-26 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 103.7 / LA 28.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · popup · EV 74.9 / LA 62.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.8 / LA 45.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 105.5 / LA 21.02026-06-05 · sac fly · FF · line_drive · EV 84.1 / LA 24.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 35.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 79.7 / LA 58.02026-06-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 86.2 / LA -35.02026-06-15 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 82.2 / LA 20.02026-06-15 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.3 / LA -22.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 48.3 / LA -15.02026-06-15 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 53.02026-06-18 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 82.3 / LA 13.02026-06-18 · field out · ST · popup · EV 68.3 / LA 52.02026-06-18 · triple · FF · line_drive · EV 101.0 / LA 17.02026-06-22 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.5 / LA 37.02026-06-22 · field error · CU · ground_ball · EV 108.8 / LA -14.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.3 / LA -32.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA -19.02026-06-24 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 30.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 77.9 / LA 14.02026-08-08 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.4 / LA 34.02026-08-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 51.2 / LA -61.02026-08-15 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 86.1 / LA 28.02026-08-15 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 80.2 / LA 8.02026-08-15 · fielders choice out · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.8 / LA 4.02026-08-16 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 94.6 / LA -23.02026-08-16 · triple · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.0 / LA -3.02026-08-22 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 104.1 / LA 17.02026-08-22 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 72.1 / LA 28.02026-08-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.1 / LA -5.02026-08-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.0 / LA 29.02026-08-23 · double · ST · ground_ball · EV 91.4 / LA -13.02026-08-23 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 91.1 / LA -11.02026-08-23 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 75.0 / LA 18.02026-08-30 · home run · FS · fly_ball · EV 104.6 / LA 37.02026-08-30 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.0 / LA 15.02026-09-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 70.3 / LA -1.02026-09-01 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 86.9 / LA 49.02026-09-01 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 84.2 / LA 12.02026-09-04 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 108.2 / LA 4.02026-09-05 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 60.1 / LA -2.02026-09-05 · field out · CS · ground_ball · EV 88.4 / LA -16.02026-09-05 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 94.4 / LA 53.02026-09-05 · field out · CH · popup · EV 82.2 / LA 69.02026-09-08 · double · SL · fly_ball · EV 100.0 / LA 35.02026-09-09 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 58.2 / LA 15.02026-09-11 · field out · CH · popup · EV 92.1 / LA 66.02026-09-11 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.3 / LA 7.02026-09-11 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 95.6 / LA 20.02026-09-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.2 / LA 26.02026-09-18 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 6.02026-09-18 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 32.02026-09-18 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 107.2 / LA 19.02026-09-25 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 94.1 / LA -4.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Sosa, Edmundo · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 45%45%Chase: 52%52%Whiff: 25%25%Zone contact: 88%88%Contact: 75%75%Hard hit: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ+0.025
wOBA Δ+0.034
Sample261 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances374----
Home Runs12----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3030.244 to 0.345+/- 0.051
ISO0.1410.109 to 0.243+/- 0.067
Barrel%4.1%2.5% to 7.3%+/- 2.4%
Hard-Hit%35.7%32.8% to 45.3%+/- 6.2%
K%23.7%18.5% to 31.6%+/- 6.5%
BB%4.3%2.4% to 7.2%+/- 2.4%
BABIP0.3080.245 to 0.363+/- 0.059
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

575 career PA

xwOBA0.235
K%18.3%
BB%3.1%
Barrel4.3%
vs RHP

921 career PA

xwOBA0.215
K%18.1%
BB%2.6%
Barrel3.6%