Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / SEA · 2026

Wisdom, Patrick

Middle-order power profile with real damage

Primary
0.289 xwOBA
Range
0.205 to 0.334
Live Δ
yes
Team SEA Archetype Impact slugger Age 35 Status Out / inactive
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
61
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
54
Defense1 metrics
47
Plate skills10 metrics
66
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
xwOBA preseason0.287
xwOBA current pace0.236
xwOBA rolling p500.277
Observed weight20%
xwOBA
0.223 0.249 0.277 0.306 0.331
wOBA
0.126 0.159 0.195 0.231 0.264
ISO
0.099 0.133 0.171 0.208 0.242
K%
29.6% 33.0% 36.8% 40.6% 44.0%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.3%
96 +18 vs proj
Exit velocity92.2
94
Hard-hit%41.4%
65 -23 vs proj
xBA0.286
18
xSLG0.648
89
xwOBA0.236
5 -29 vs proj
BB%5.6%
18 -30 vs proj
Bat speed74.5
96
K%40.7%
1
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
47
Range Runs-0.9 · 3B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.1 · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-27
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.9% · rebadged research
36
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 17.0% · rebadged research
96
Correct Decisions70.5% · rebadged research
89
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.290 · borderline
44
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · insufficient sample
43
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
70
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
54
Resists FastballwOBA 0.302 · validated
96
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
56
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
78
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Wisdom, Patrick · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.236 2026-09-13: 0.2362026-09-14: 0.2362026-09-18: 0.2362026-09-19: 0.2362026-09-20: 0.2362026-09-21: 0.2362026-09-22: 0.2362026-09-23: 0.2362026-09-24: 0.2362026-09-25: 0.2362026-09-26: 0.2362026-09-27: 0.236 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

16 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Wisdom, Patrick · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 38% of plotted batted ballsPull 38%Center field third: 44% of plotted batted ballsCenter 44%Right field third: 19% of plotted batted ballsOppo 19% LF 331 CF 401 RF 326 2026-03-17 · field error · SI · ground_ball · EV 72.3 / LA -66.02026-03-17 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 103.5 / LA 12.02026-03-17 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 86.8 / LA 40.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 31.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · popup · EV 102.4 / LA 63.02026-05-19 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.0 / LA -11.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 47.02026-05-20 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 103.8 / LA 12.02026-05-22 · field out · SL · popup · EV 92.3 / LA 58.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 80.4 / LA 75.02026-06-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 6.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · popup · EV 62.0 / LA 54.02026-06-07 · single · KC · line_drive · EV 76.4 / LA 16.02026-08-26 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 88.7 / LA 26.02026-08-26 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 40.02026-08-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.9 / LA 31.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Wisdom, Patrick · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 39%39%Whiff: 37%37%Zone contact: 74%74%Contact: 63%63%Hard hit: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Age-35 season adds a little downside to the power band.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.053
wOBA Δ-0.094
Sample54 PA
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances217----
Home Runs11----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2890.205 to 0.334+/- 0.065
ISO0.1790.113 to 0.290+/- 0.089
Barrel%6.7%3.9% to 9.7%+/- 2.9%
Hard-Hit%47.4%33.2% to 57.9%+/- 12.3%
K%36.2%25.5% to 43.0%+/- 8.8%
BB%8.2%4.3% to 11.8%+/- 3.8%
BABIP0.2710.171 to 0.337+/- 0.083
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

552 career PA

xwOBA0.170
K%22.7%
BB%4.3%
Barrel5.1%
vs RHP

1011 career PA

xwOBA0.168
K%21.2%
BB%4.9%
Barrel4.6%