Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-35 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / SEA · 2026
Wisdom, Patrick
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team SEA
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 35
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.287 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.193 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.281 |
| Observed weight | 7% |
xwOBA
0.220
0.249
0.281
0.313
0.341
wOBA
0.161
0.229
0.304
0.379
0.447
ISO
0.101
0.140
0.184
0.227
0.266
K%
27.6%
31.5%
35.8%
40.1%
44.0%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B · small sample regression applied
60
Regression applied
Range Runs0.2 · 3B
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.0% · rebadged research
25
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.2% · rebadged research
93
Correct Decisions68.6% · rebadged research
73
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · borderline
29
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
65
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
53
Resists FastballwOBA 0.320 · validated
85
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
57
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
10 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 217 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.289 | 0.205 to 0.334 | +/- 0.065 |
| ISO | 0.179 | 0.113 to 0.290 | +/- 0.089 |
| Barrel% | 6.7% | 3.9% to 9.7% | +/- 2.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 47.4% | 33.2% to 57.9% | +/- 12.3% |
| K% | 36.2% | 25.5% to 43.0% | +/- 8.8% |
| BB% | 8.2% | 4.3% to 11.8% | +/- 3.8% |
| BABIP | 0.271 | 0.171 to 0.337 | +/- 0.083 |
vs LHP
552 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.170 |
| K% | 22.7% |
| BB% | 4.3% |
| Barrel | 5.1% |
vs RHP
1011 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.168 |
| K% | 21.2% |
| BB% | 4.9% |
| Barrel | 4.6% |