Increase in-zone swing rate, especially on fastballs in favorable counts
Hittable takes / Expansion guardrail
Ward, Taylor
On-base driven regular with stable floor
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.328 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.348 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.341 |
| Observed weight | 67% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Taylor Ward's tools (84) outpace production (77) by 6 points. Primary finding: excellent plate discipline but too passive on hittable pitches — letting strikes go by.
Field-coordinate spray profile
193 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.014 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.018 |
| Sample | 446 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 615 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 25 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.334 | 0.284 to 0.367 | +/- 0.042 |
| ISO | 0.185 | 0.135 to 0.259 | +/- 0.062 |
| Barrel% | 6.6% | 4.8% to 8.9% | +/- 2.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 43.9% | 36.6% to 49.7% | +/- 6.6% |
| K% | 24.9% | 20.0% to 29.5% | +/- 4.8% |
| BB% | 9.9% | 7.4% to 13.3% | +/- 3.0% |
| BABIP | 0.281 | 0.234 to 0.328 | +/- 0.047 |
747 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.302 |
| K% | 19.7% |
| BB% | 8.2% |
| Barrel | 7.1% |
2229 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.278 |
| K% | 21.9% |
| BB% | 8.8% |
| Barrel | 6.3% |