Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026
Torrens, Luis
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team NYM
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 30
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
43
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.317 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.289 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.301 |
| Observed weight | 56% |
xwOBA
0.271
0.285
0.301
0.317
0.332
wOBA
0.280
0.297
0.316
0.334
0.351
ISO
0.106
0.123
0.142
0.161
0.178
K%
18.1%
19.6%
21.2%
22.9%
24.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.9%
34
Exit velocity88.1
52
Hard-hit%41.2%
64
xBA0.301
31
xSLG0.476
43
xwOBA0.289
35
-16 vs proj
BB%6.0%
23
Bat speed68.4
33
K%21.2%
60
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs1.1 · C
86
Catcher Throwing2.2 · C
88
Framing Runs5.1 · C
89
Pop Time1.9 · C
96
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.6 · C
28
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.2% · rebadged research
44
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.5% · rebadged research
58
Correct Decisions65.2% · rebadged research
40
Mithrandir Stuff+78
5
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.279 · borderline
73
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · insufficient sample
69
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.269 · validated thin sample
79
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · insufficient sample
48
Resists FastballwOBA 0.386 · validated
6
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.334 · validated
90
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
47
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
131 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.013 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.014 |
| Sample | 283 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 367 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.302 | 0.259 to 0.365 | +/- 0.053 |
| ISO | 0.118 | 0.053 to 0.203 | +/- 0.075 |
| Barrel% | 4.7% | 3.0% to 7.6% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 39.5% | 34.3% to 52.4% | +/- 9.1% |
| K% | 21.5% | 17.1% to 28.9% | +/- 5.9% |
| BB% | 6.0% | 4.8% to 9.9% | +/- 2.5% |
| BABIP | 0.274 | 0.235 to 0.323 | +/- 0.044 |
vs LHP
475 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.209 |
| K% | 14.1% |
| BB% | 4.4% |
| Barrel | 3.8% |
vs RHP
863 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.218 |
| K% | 14.2% |
| BB% | 4.4% |
| Barrel | 4.1% |