Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-31 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / SD · 2026
Andujar, Miguel
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team SD
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 31
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.293 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.292 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.293 |
| Observed weight | 47% |
xwOBA
0.268
0.279
0.293
0.306
0.318
wOBA
0.289
0.309
0.332
0.354
0.375
ISO
0.130
0.144
0.161
0.177
0.191
K%
12.7%
14.2%
15.9%
17.5%
19.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%3.1%
4
Barrel%3.1%
24
Bat speed69.1
42
Exit velocity88.5
50
Hard-hit%36.2%
33
K%18.4%
72
-18 vs proj
xBA0.321
47
xSLG0.465
34
xwOBA0.292
33
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-0.4 · 3B · small sample regression applied
35
Regression applied
Range Runs-0.8 · 3B
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.7 · DH
20
Sprint Speed27.3 · DH
50
SB Success Rate33.3% · DH
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 57.7% · rebadged research
16
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.4% · rebadged research
57
Correct Decisions63.7% · rebadged research
26
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.268 · borderline
85
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.305 · insufficient sample
5
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.262 · validated thin sample
86
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.335 · insufficient sample
40
Resists FastballwOBA 0.328 · validated
73
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.383 · validated
7
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
18
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
146 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.008 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.047 |
| Sample | 196 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 416 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.284 | 0.258 to 0.317 | +/- 0.029 |
| ISO | 0.114 | 0.109 to 0.207 | +/- 0.049 |
| Barrel% | 2.6% | 1.5% to 5.2% | +/- 1.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 32.6% | 30.0% to 41.3% | +/- 5.7% |
| K% | 13.8% | 10.8% to 21.1% | +/- 5.2% |
| BB% | 5.1% | 3.6% to 8.1% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.282 | 0.256 to 0.327 | +/- 0.035 |
vs LHP
555 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.234 |
| K% | 10.8% |
| BB% | 3.8% |
| Barrel | 2.6% |
vs RHP
1334 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.212 |
| K% | 10.3% |
| BB% | 3.4% |
| Barrel | 2.4% |