Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-31 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / SD · 2026
Andujar, Miguel
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team SD
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 31
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
36
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.293 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.296 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.295 |
| Observed weight | 54% |
xwOBA
0.271
0.282
0.295
0.307
0.319
wOBA
0.287
0.305
0.324
0.344
0.362
ISO
0.124
0.137
0.151
0.166
0.179
K%
12.2%
13.6%
15.1%
16.6%
17.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.1%
23
Exit velocity88.2
50
Hard-hit%35.0%
31
xBA0.317
45
xSLG0.452
29
xwOBA0.296
39
BB%3.9%
8
Bat speed69.3
45
K%16.3%
83
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
60
Regression applied
Range Runs-1.3 · 3B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.1 · DH
15
Sprint Speed27.3 · DH
48
SB Success Rate50.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 57.4% · rebadged research
15
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.2% · rebadged research
50
Correct Decisions63.1% · rebadged research
22
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.269 · borderline
86
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.303 · insufficient sample
7
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277 · validated thin sample
61
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
57
Resists FastballwOBA 0.321 · validated
82
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.377 · validated
13
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
16
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
160 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.012 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.040 |
| Sample | 258 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 416 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.284 | 0.258 to 0.317 | +/- 0.029 |
| ISO | 0.114 | 0.109 to 0.207 | +/- 0.049 |
| Barrel% | 2.6% | 1.5% to 5.2% | +/- 1.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 32.6% | 30.0% to 41.3% | +/- 5.7% |
| K% | 13.8% | 10.8% to 21.1% | +/- 5.2% |
| BB% | 5.1% | 3.6% to 8.1% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.283 | 0.256 to 0.327 | +/- 0.035 |
vs LHP
555 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.234 |
| K% | 10.8% |
| BB% | 3.8% |
| Barrel | 2.6% |
vs RHP
1334 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.212 |
| K% | 10.3% |
| BB% | 3.4% |
| Barrel | 2.4% |