Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-33 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / AZ · 2026
Garcia, Aramis
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team AZ
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 33
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.219 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.190 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.216 |
| Observed weight | 9% |
xwOBA
0.128
0.170
0.216
0.262
0.304
wOBA
0.181
0.239
0.304
0.369
0.427
ISO
0.000
0.035
0.080
0.125
0.165
K%
16.9%
22.7%
29.1%
35.5%
41.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.3 · C
Limited
Catcher Throwing-0.3 · C
Limited
Framing Runs0.4 · C
Limited
Pop Time1.9 · C
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.9 · C
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.3% · rebadged research
21
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.8% · rebadged research
65
Correct Decisions63.6% · rebadged research
26
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.276 · borderline
72
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
36
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
54
Resists FastballwOBA 0.332 · validated
66
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
50
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
29
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
15 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 209 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.215 | 0.097 to 0.291 | +/- 0.097 |
| ISO | 0.099 | 0.006 to 0.194 | +/- 0.094 |
| Barrel% | 2.3% | 0.2% to 5.6% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 24.3% | 7.0% to 38.4% | +/- 15.7% |
| K% | 29.6% | 12.5% to 39.3% | +/- 13.4% |
| BB% | 5.3% | 0.5% to 10.0% | +/- 4.7% |
| BABIP | 0.273 | 0.117 to 0.355 | +/- 0.119 |
vs LHP
137 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.008 |
| K% | 4.6% |
| BB% | 0.9% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
287 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.008 |
| K% | 4.9% |
| BB% | 0.8% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |