Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-34 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / MIL · 2026
Sánchez, Gary
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team MIL
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 34
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
51
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.317 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.336 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.328 |
| Observed weight | 56% |
xwOBA
0.293
0.309
0.328
0.346
0.363
wOBA
0.326
0.343
0.362
0.382
0.399
ISO
0.171
0.187
0.206
0.224
0.240
K%
19.7%
21.4%
23.3%
25.1%
26.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.9%
52
-30 vs proj
Exit velocity87.6
48
Hard-hit%35.1%
35
-43 vs proj
xBA0.299
28
xSLG0.534
60
xwOBA0.336
83
+21 vs proj
BB%16.5%
99
+60 vs proj
Bat speed68.8
38
K%20.8%
62
+34 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.4 · C
15
Catcher Throwing-0.3 · C
47
Framing Runs-1.6 · C
31
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · C
9
Pop Time1.9 · C
46
Range Runs-1.7 · C
12
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.5 · C
2
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.4% · rebadged research
95
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.4% · rebadged research
11
Correct Decisions65.8% · rebadged research
46
Mithrandir Stuff+81
5
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.244 · borderline
99
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.303 · insufficient sample
9
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.265 · validated thin sample
84
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.319 · insufficient sample
67
Resists FastballwOBA 0.377 · validated
8
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.370 · validated
23
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
73
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
118 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.022 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.048 |
| Sample | 284 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 291 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 13 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.314 | 0.249 to 0.380 | +/- 0.066 |
| ISO | 0.197 | 0.136 to 0.274 | +/- 0.069 |
| Barrel% | 7.1% | 4.8% to 10.4% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 43.9% | 37.0% to 54.1% | +/- 8.6% |
| K% | 26.9% | 21.5% to 35.7% | +/- 7.1% |
| BB% | 7.6% | 4.7% to 11.5% | +/- 3.4% |
| BABIP | 0.264 | 0.180 to 0.302 | +/- 0.061 |
vs LHP
983 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.235 |
| K% | 18.7% |
| BB% | 5.4% |
| Barrel | 6.7% |
vs RHP
2579 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.220 |
| K% | 19.6% |
| BB% | 5.2% |
| Barrel | 5.3% |