Flatten swing plane to bring average LA into the 15-22° window
Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.
Castellanos, Nick
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.315 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.285 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.304 |
| Observed weight | 38% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Nick Castellanos's tools (94) outpace production (77) by 17 points. Primary finding: excessive fly-ball angle — producing popups instead of line drives.
Field-coordinate spray profile
94 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.024 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.031 |
| Sample | 137 PA |
positive regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 583 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 20 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.309 | 0.285 to 0.362 | +/- 0.039 |
| ISO | 0.158 | 0.107 to 0.242 | +/- 0.068 |
| Barrel% | 5.1% | 4.1% to 7.9% | +/- 1.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.9% | 34.7% to 45.8% | +/- 5.6% |
| K% | 23.6% | 19.2% to 28.5% | +/- 4.6% |
| BB% | 5.4% | 3.8% to 8.6% | +/- 2.4% |
| BABIP | 0.295 | 0.259 to 0.348 | +/- 0.044 |
1640 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.283 |
| K% | 20.7% |
| BB% | 5.6% |
| Barrel | 5.1% |
5033 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.279 |
| K% | 20.4% |
| BB% | 4.7% |
| Barrel | 5.5% |