Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / ATL · 2026

Farmer, Kyle

Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach

Primary
0.270 xwOBA
Range
0.226 to 0.322
Live Δ
--
Team ATL Archetype Ground-ball contact Age 36 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
31
Offense
percentile
Defense1 metrics
51
Plate skills10 metrics
29
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
xwOBA preseason0.284
xwOBA current pace0.238
xwOBA rolling p500.278
Observed weight13%
xwOBA
0.235 0.255 0.278 0.301 0.322
wOBA
0.202 0.250 0.303 0.356 0.404
ISO
0.081 0.113 0.149 0.185 0.217
K%
17.7% 20.3% 23.1% 25.9% 28.4%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
51 Regression applied
Range Runs0.3 · 3B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.4
Small sample
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-07-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 44.4% · rebadged research
2
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 42.9% · rebadged research
2
Correct Decisions52.0% · rebadged research
2
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
61
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
21
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
44
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
52
Resists FastballwOBA 0.334 · validated
63
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362 · validated
40
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline66
1
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

24 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Farmer, Kyle · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 17% of plotted batted ballsPull 17%Center field third: 71% of plotted batted ballsCenter 71%Right field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsOppo 12% LF 335 CF 400 RF 325 2026-03-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.4 / LA 4.02026-03-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.4 / LA -8.02026-03-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 72.6 / LA -15.02026-03-15 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA -6.02026-03-17 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 86.2 / LA 32.02026-03-17 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 64.4 / LA 18.02026-03-17 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 69.1 / LA -9.02026-03-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 81.0 / LA 1.02026-03-22 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 61.7 / LA -15.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 88.0 / LA 67.02026-03-24 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 25.4 / LA 39.02026-03-24 · field out · SL · popup · EV 89.0 / LA 59.02026-03-24 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 100.1 / LA -18.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · popup · EV 77.8 / LA 74.02026-04-02 · sac fly · EP · fly_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 32.02026-04-02 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 85.9 / LA 17.02026-04-12 · field out · FA · line_drive · EV 93.8 / LA 18.02026-04-12 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 65.6 / LA -39.02026-04-12 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 95.3 / LA 14.02026-04-13 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 66.3 / LA -25.02026-04-28 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 69.2 / LA 15.02026-04-30 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 59.7 / LA -28.02026-04-30 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.0 / LA -4.02026-04-30 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 3.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Farmer, Kyle · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 42%42%Whiff: 30%30%Zone contact: 74%74%Contact: 70%70%Hard hit: 24%24% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Projected to do more damage vs lefties (0.256 vs 0.224 xwOBA split).
hitter
2
templated note
Age-36 season adds a little downside to the power band.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances389----
Home Runs11----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2700.226 to 0.322+/- 0.048
ISO0.1220.079 to 0.236+/- 0.078
Barrel%3.5%2.0% to 6.2%+/- 2.1%
Hard-Hit%32.5%28.7% to 42.3%+/- 6.8%
K%23.4%18.2% to 30.2%+/- 6.0%
BB%6.2%4.7% to 9.4%+/- 2.3%
BABIP0.2660.206 to 0.321+/- 0.057
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

860 career PA

xwOBA0.256
K%16.5%
BB%6.0%
Barrel4.0%
vs RHP

1698 career PA

xwOBA0.224
K%17.7%
BB%4.7%
Barrel2.8%