Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projected to do more damage vs lefties (0.272 vs 0.234 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Age-35 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026
Grichuk, Randal
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team CWS
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 35
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
88
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.311 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.361 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.332 |
| Observed weight | 43% |
xwOBA
0.300
0.315
0.332
0.349
0.364
wOBA
0.316
0.339
0.365
0.390
0.413
ISO
0.159
0.180
0.203
0.226
0.247
K%
17.6%
19.5%
21.6%
23.7%
25.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.1%
92
+27 vs proj
Exit velocity90.5
80
Hard-hit%46.2%
81
xBA0.382
93
xSLG0.692
93
xwOBA0.361
90
+35 vs proj
BB%4.3%
9
Bat speed72.3
81
K%22.0%
52
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
46
Arm Runs-0.5 · LF
Small sample
Range Runs-1.6 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.3 · DH
48
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.4% · rebadged research
39
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.1% · rebadged research
40
Correct Decisions64.8% · rebadged research
36
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.340 · borderline
1
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
28
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.285 · validated thin sample
36
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.329 · insufficient sample
59
Resists FastballwOBA 0.322 · validated
80
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.373 · validated
18
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
35
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
75 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.049 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.053 |
| Sample | 164 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 383 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 13 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.311 | 0.271 to 0.357 | +/- 0.043 |
| ISO | 0.166 | 0.112 to 0.251 | +/- 0.069 |
| Barrel% | 6.0% | 4.1% to 8.6% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 43.4% | 39.6% to 53.1% | +/- 6.7% |
| K% | 22.2% | 16.4% to 28.9% | +/- 6.2% |
| BB% | 6.3% | 4.9% to 9.5% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.282 | 0.222 to 0.335 | +/- 0.056 |
vs LHP
1638 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.272 |
| K% | 14.6% |
| BB% | 5.5% |
| Barrel | 6.4% |
vs RHP
3192 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.234 |
| K% | 16.3% |
| BB% | 4.3% |
| Barrel | 4.7% |