Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projected to do more damage vs lefties (0.272 vs 0.234 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Age-35 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026
Grichuk, Randal
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team CWS
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 35
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.311 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.382 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.333 |
| Observed weight | 30% |
xwOBA
0.297
0.314
0.333
0.351
0.368
wOBA
0.315
0.345
0.378
0.412
0.442
ISO
0.129
0.154
0.180
0.207
0.231
K%
16.9%
19.1%
21.5%
24.0%
26.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%4.2%
9
Barrel%9.4%
91
+29 vs proj
Bat speed71.9
79
Exit velocity90.8
82
Hard-hit%44.9%
71
K%21.9%
50
xBA0.410
99
xSLG0.751
96
xwOBA0.382
93
+40 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
20
Arm Runs-0.2 · LF
Limited
Range Runs-1.2 · LF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.0 · LF
42
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.5% · rebadged research
40
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.4% · rebadged research
57
Correct Decisions65.1% · rebadged research
39
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.324 · borderline
4
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · insufficient sample
29
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.266 · validated thin sample
79
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.335 · insufficient sample
40
Resists FastballwOBA 0.328 · validated
73
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.353 · validated
60
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
43
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
62 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.071 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.067 |
| Sample | 96 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 383 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 13 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.311 | 0.271 to 0.357 | +/- 0.043 |
| ISO | 0.166 | 0.112 to 0.251 | +/- 0.069 |
| Barrel% | 6.0% | 4.1% to 8.6% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 43.4% | 39.6% to 53.1% | +/- 6.7% |
| K% | 22.2% | 16.4% to 28.9% | +/- 6.2% |
| BB% | 6.3% | 4.9% to 9.5% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.282 | 0.222 to 0.335 | +/- 0.056 |
vs LHP
1638 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.272 |
| K% | 14.6% |
| BB% | 5.5% |
| Barrel | 6.4% |
vs RHP
3192 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.234 |
| K% | 16.3% |
| BB% | 4.3% |
| Barrel | 4.7% |