Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-36 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / AZ · 2026
McCann, James
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team AZ
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 36
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
73
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.311 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.302 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.307 |
| Observed weight | 44% |
xwOBA
0.273
0.289
0.307
0.325
0.341
wOBA
0.329
0.351
0.376
0.400
0.423
ISO
0.141
0.162
0.185
0.208
0.228
K%
20.8%
22.7%
24.8%
26.9%
28.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%10.3%
99
+47 vs proj
Exit velocity89.0
63
Hard-hit%47.2%
87
+30 vs proj
xBA0.329
63
xSLG0.594
78
xwOBA0.302
50
BB%3.4%
5
-15 vs proj
Bat speed69.5
48
K%25.3%
37
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.2 · C
60
Catcher Throwing-1.1 · C
24
Framing Runs-5.3 · C
8
Outs Above Avg0.0 · C
68
Pop Time2.0 · C
22
Range Runs0.1 · C
75
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.2 · C
7
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 57.4% · rebadged research
14
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 31.4% · rebadged research
8
Correct Decisions59.3% · rebadged research
6
Mithrandir Stuff+59
1
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.280 · borderline
71
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
24
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.263 · validated thin sample
86
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.300 · insufficient sample
93
Resists FastballwOBA 0.316 · validated
87
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352 · validated
64
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline87
7
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
86 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.001 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.075 |
| Sample | 174 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 293 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.301 | 0.250 to 0.349 | +/- 0.050 |
| ISO | 0.149 | 0.091 to 0.235 | +/- 0.072 |
| Barrel% | 4.9% | 2.6% to 8.0% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 39.8% | 33.6% to 49.7% | +/- 8.1% |
| K% | 23.0% | 19.5% to 32.1% | +/- 6.3% |
| BB% | 5.8% | 3.5% to 8.8% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.280 | 0.209 to 0.325 | +/- 0.058 |
vs LHP
1100 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.220 |
| K% | 15.4% |
| BB% | 3.4% |
| Barrel | 4.2% |
vs RHP
2416 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.204 |
| K% | 17.6% |
| BB% | 3.7% |
| Barrel | 3.3% |