Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-36 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / TEX · 2026
Higashioka, Kyle
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team TEX
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 36
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
46
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.298 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.293 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.296 |
| Observed weight | 46% |
xwOBA
0.263
0.279
0.296
0.313
0.328
wOBA
0.302
0.323
0.346
0.369
0.390
ISO
0.130
0.150
0.172
0.194
0.214
K%
21.6%
23.3%
25.1%
27.0%
28.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.8%
61
Exit velocity87.3
38
Hard-hit%41.0%
59
xBA0.312
37
xSLG0.500
46
xwOBA0.293
35
BB%9.4%
60
+41 vs proj
Bat speed68.0
27
K%26.2%
30
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.0 · C
49
Catcher Throwing-2.1 · C
8
Framing Runs-1.0 · C
32
Pop Time2.0 · C
6
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.6 · C
3
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.8% · rebadged research
57
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.7% · rebadged research
19
Correct Decisions63.8% · rebadged research
27
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.247 · borderline
99
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · insufficient sample
77
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
45
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.354 · insufficient sample
12
Resists FastballwOBA 0.327 · validated
73
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.391 · validated
6
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
39
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
78 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.002 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.051 |
| Sample | 191 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 400 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 17 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.295 | 0.249 to 0.346 | +/- 0.048 |
| ISO | 0.167 | 0.120 to 0.264 | +/- 0.072 |
| Barrel% | 5.6% | 3.4% to 8.0% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.5% | 34.4% to 47.9% | +/- 6.7% |
| K% | 25.3% | 20.2% to 31.3% | +/- 5.5% |
| BB% | 5.9% | 4.0% to 9.5% | +/- 2.8% |
| BABIP | 0.277 | 0.204 to 0.340 | +/- 0.068 |
vs LHP
501 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.239 |
| K% | 19.2% |
| BB% | 3.9% |
| Barrel | 5.9% |
vs RHP
1136 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.213 |
| K% | 19.8% |
| BB% | 4.4% |
| Barrel | 4.4% |