Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Age-37 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026
D'Arnaud, Travis
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team LAA
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 37
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
23
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.295 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.234 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.277 |
| Observed weight | 29% |
xwOBA
0.236
0.255
0.277
0.299
0.318
wOBA
0.200
0.228
0.259
0.290
0.317
ISO
0.077
0.103
0.132
0.160
0.186
K%
24.5%
26.7%
29.1%
31.4%
33.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.4%
59
Exit velocity86.5
35
Hard-hit%30.9%
20
-35 vs proj
xBA0.222
1
xSLG0.411
17
xwOBA0.234
5
-31 vs proj
BB%8.7%
53
+26 vs proj
Bat speed70.0
56
K%29.3%
19
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.1 · C
47
Catcher Throwing-0.3 · C
48
Framing Runs-2.3 · C
26
Pop Time1.9 · C
46
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.9 · C
4
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.4% · rebadged research
39
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.3% · rebadged research
16
Correct Decisions64.1% · rebadged research
28
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.298 · borderline
30
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
62
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
54
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.320 · insufficient sample
65
Resists FastballwOBA 0.310 · validated
91
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358 · validated
47
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
24
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
51 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.058 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.033 |
| Sample | 92 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 354 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 12 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.292 | 0.242 to 0.349 | +/- 0.053 |
| ISO | 0.155 | 0.089 to 0.240 | +/- 0.076 |
| Barrel% | 4.9% | 3.3% to 8.8% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 39.3% | 32.7% to 50.0% | +/- 8.6% |
| K% | 29.1% | 23.3% to 35.0% | +/- 5.9% |
| BB% | 6.4% | 4.1% to 10.3% | +/- 3.1% |
| BABIP | 0.279 | 0.207 to 0.330 | +/- 0.061 |
vs LHP
802 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.241 |
| K% | 20.9% |
| BB% | 5.9% |
| Barrel | 5.3% |
vs RHP
2533 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.220 |
| K% | 21.8% |
| BB% | 4.7% |
| Barrel | 4.6% |