Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Age-37 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / LAD · 2026
Rojas, Miguel
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team LAD
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 37
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
49
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.298 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.326 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.310 |
| Observed weight | 44% |
xwOBA
0.283
0.296
0.310
0.325
0.337
wOBA
0.358
0.381
0.406
0.431
0.453
ISO
0.107
0.123
0.142
0.160
0.176
K%
9.2%
10.6%
12.2%
13.8%
15.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.7%
60
+48 vs proj
Exit velocity86.3
29
Hard-hit%38.9%
49
+37 vs proj
xBA0.326
56
xSLG0.469
34
xwOBA0.326
68
+32 vs proj
BB%6.3%
22
Bat speed66.5
14
K%9.7%
98
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 2B
39
Arm Strength85.9 · 2B
46
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
43
Range Runs1.7 · 2B
67
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.0 · 2B
18
SB Success Rate0.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.1% · rebadged research
42
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.6% · rebadged research
35
Correct Decisions64.6% · rebadged research
34
Mithrandir Stuff+71
4
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · borderline
37
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
47
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.269 · validated thin sample
82
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.357 · insufficient sample
11
Resists FastballwOBA 0.342 · validated
42
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.340 · validated
89
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
37
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
112 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.032 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.112 |
| Sample | 175 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 408 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.294 | 0.265 to 0.331 | +/- 0.033 |
| ISO | 0.099 | 0.077 to 0.188 | +/- 0.056 |
| Barrel% | 1.9% | 1.3% to 4.3% | +/- 1.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 28.8% | 24.1% to 36.0% | +/- 6.0% |
| K% | 13.8% | 10.6% to 20.6% | +/- 5.0% |
| BB% | 6.7% | 5.3% to 10.1% | +/- 2.4% |
| BABIP | 0.281 | 0.243 to 0.331 | +/- 0.044 |
vs LHP
1220 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.248 |
| K% | 8.7% |
| BB% | 6.4% |
| Barrel | 2.5% |
vs RHP
2936 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.233 |
| K% | 10.3% |
| BB% | 5.3% |
| Barrel | 2.0% |