Mithrandir Metrics
ATH 2026-09-26 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-26

Shea Langeliers

ATH · Hitter · bats R · age 29
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupATH vs HOUHayden Wesneski
Sample1971.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.055, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.082, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 16.1
F 14.4
V 15.3
Model 19.4% Market 20.3% Gap -1.7pp
DraftKings 375 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 56.8
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 70.3% Market 71.4% Gap +14.6pp
BetMGM -250 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.1%
96
Exit velocity91.5
92
Hard-hit%43.6%
75
xBA0.362
89
xSLG0.668
92
xwOBA0.356
94 +30 vs proj
BB%8.2%
48
Bat speed74.0
94
K%23.0%
50
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.7 · C
34
Catcher Throwing1.9 · C
82
Framing Runs-4.9 · C
9
Pop Time1.9 · C
94
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.4 · C
36
Sprint Speed28.4 · C
78
SB Success Rate75.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.7%
35
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.9%
87
Correct Decisions67.0%
60
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
58
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.329 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.311 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.329 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.354
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.383
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.305 to 0.363
RegressionNegative · -0.012
Opposing pitcherHayden Wesneski
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-26
Palantir 21711 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Fangorn 21711 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Valinor 16023 props Brier 0.114 ECE 0.001 14d stable
Palantir 1947 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1443 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Palantir 10429 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.039 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 850 props Brier 0.166 ECE 0.036 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 1088 props Brier 0.255 ECE 0.053 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)