Mithrandir Metrics
COL 2026-09-26 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-26

Edouard Julien

COL · Hitter
OUT · 6 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupCOL vs CWSDavis Martin
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.055, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.082, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 9.7
F 13.3
V 11.2
Model 14.5% Market 10.9% Gap +3.3pp
DraftKings 790 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 53.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 62.5% Market 63.6% Gap +10.5pp
BetMGM -175 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.7%
49
Exit velocity90.4
83
Hard-hit%50.0%
94
xBA0.353
85
xSLG0.574
74
xwOBA0.338
85
BB%14.7%
97
Bat speed69.4
46
K%26.1%
32
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.0 · 2B
30
Arm Strength79.7 · 2B
4
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 2B
27
Range Runs-3.4 · 2B
21
Baserunning · percentile strip
SB Success Rate60.0% · 2B
12
Sprint Speed26.7 · 2B
30
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.6%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.3%
Small sample
Correct Decisions71.5%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.282 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.268 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.322
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range--
RegressionNegative · -0.003
Opposing pitcherDavis Martin
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-26
Palantir 21711 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Fangorn 21711 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Valinor 16023 props Brier 0.114 ECE 0.001 14d stable
Palantir 1947 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1443 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Palantir 10429 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.039 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 850 props Brier 0.166 ECE 0.036 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 1088 props Brier 0.255 ECE 0.053 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)