Mithrandir Metrics
CWS 2026-09-26 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-26

Andrew Benintendi

CWS · Hitter · bats L · age 32
IN · 4 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupCWS vs COLJose Quintana
Sample4669.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.055, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.082, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 10.6
F 13.8
V 10.1
Model 13.9% Market 11.7% Gap +1.7pp
DraftKings 725 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 53.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 62.7% Market 63.6% Gap +10.4pp
BetMGM -175 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.0%
68 +28 vs proj
Exit velocity88.7
61
Hard-hit%45.5%
82 +55 vs proj
xBA0.327
61
xSLG0.539
62
xwOBA0.304
53
BB%8.1%
46
Bat speed68.0
30
K%24.4%
41 -40 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.8 · LF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg-0.5 · LF
34 Regression applied
Range Runs-0.8 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.8 · DH
18
Sprint Speed26.6 · DH
28
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.3%
25
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.5%
84
Correct Decisions65.1%
39
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
42
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.308 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.243
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.274 to 0.355
RegressionNegative · -0.029
Opposing pitcherJose Quintana
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-26
Palantir 21711 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Fangorn 21711 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Valinor 16023 props Brier 0.114 ECE 0.001 14d stable
Palantir 1947 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1443 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Palantir 10429 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.039 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 850 props Brier 0.166 ECE 0.036 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 1088 props Brier 0.255 ECE 0.053 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)