Mithrandir Metrics
CLE 2026-09-26 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-26

José Ramírez

CLE · Hitter · bats L · age 34
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupCLE vs KCMichael Wacha
Sample6438.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.055, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.082, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 15.1
F 14.5
V 12.6
Model 18.9% Market 19.9% Gap -1.7pp
DraftKings 385 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 64.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 79.8% Market 80.8% Gap +16.7pp
BetMGM -420 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.8%
33 -19 vs proj
Exit velocity88.8
62
Hard-hit%39.4%
56
xBA0.311
41
xSLG0.459
35
xwOBA0.325
73
BB%11.0%
80 +23 vs proj
Bat speed68.9
39
K%12.6%
96
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength85.6 · 3B
39
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 3B
80
Range Runs1.8 · 3B
74
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs4.7 · 3B
95
SB Success Rate89.3% · 3B
79
Sprint Speed27.9 · 3B
61
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.4%
61
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.8%
65
Correct Decisions66.9%
57
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
67
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.301 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.256
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.345
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.326
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.292 to 0.385
RegressionNegative · -0.018
Opposing pitcherMichael Wacha
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-26
Palantir 21711 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Fangorn 21711 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Valinor 16023 props Brier 0.114 ECE 0.001 14d stable
Palantir 1947 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1443 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Palantir 10429 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.039 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 850 props Brier 0.166 ECE 0.036 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 1088 props Brier 0.255 ECE 0.053 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)