Mithrandir Metrics
BAL 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-06-12

Shane Baz

BAL · SP · throws R · age 27
Projected starter Opp K 19.1% Neutral
MatchupBAL vs SDopponent
Sample363.0career MLB IP
PROPS 1 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 15 rows
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts5.5
P 39.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 39.4% Market -- Gap +4.4pp
FanDuel 118 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs--
Pitcher Outs · tracking

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.36
43
ERA4.06
45
BB%8.6%
51
K%20.3%
34 -20 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.333
31 -24 vs proj
Barrel allowed9.0%
34
Fastball velo96.1
76
Hard-hit allowed40.8%
40
Whiff%18.1%
14 -49 vs proj
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Curveball Stuff+104
82
Cutter Stuff+102
46
Fastball Stuff+101
41
Mithrandir Stuff+102
52
Changeup Stuff+97
Small sample
Sinker Stuff+101
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range19.8% to 29.0%
Opponent K19.1%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)