Mithrandir Metrics
CHC 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-06-12

Javier Assad

CHC · SP · throws R · age 29
Projected starter Opp K 23.6% Neutral
MatchupCHC vs SFopponent
Sample363.333career MLB IP
PROPS 1 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 16 rows
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts3.5
P 45.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 45.1% Market -- Gap +4.9pp
Internal -- tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs--
Pitcher Outs · tracking

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.07
81
ERA3.99
48
BB%6.2%
83 +38 vs proj
K%15.3%
7 -19 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.331
34 +21 vs proj
Barrel allowed5.5%
76 +39 vs proj
Fastball velo93.1
28
Hard-hit allowed50.9%
2
Whiff%14.5%
2
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Sinker Stuff+103
59
Changeup Stuff+104
Small sample
Curveball Stuff+97
Small sample
Cutter Stuff+102
Small sample
Fastball Stuff+105
Small sample
Mithrandir Stuff+103
Small sample
Slider Stuff+95
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range15.2% to 24.3%
Opponent K23.6%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)