Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-07-17

Seth Lugo

KC · SP · throws R · age 37

Projected starter Opp K 19.1% Neutral

MatchupKC vs SDopponent

Sample--career MLB IP

PROPS 1 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 0 rows

Tonight's pitcher props

Strikeouts4.5

P 53.5

F -- in progress

V -- in progress

INSUFFICIENT LANES

Model 53.5% Market -- Gap +3.5pp

Internal -- tracking Open board

Pitcher Outs--

Pitcher Outs · tracking

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Win Probability--

Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB

Insufficient sample

Percentile strips appear after the current-season sample clears the threshold.

Matchup context

cached artifacts

Projected range14.6% to 25.0%

Opponent K19.1%

Expected BF0.00

EnvironmentNeutral

Lane calibration receipts

Lane Health 2026-07-16

Palantir 9378 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable

Fangorn 9378 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable

Valinor 3783 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.006 14d stable

Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building

Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)