Mithrandir Metrics
TEX 2026-06-01 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-06-01

Jacob deGrom

TEX · SP · throws R · age 38
Projected starter Opp K 21.6% Neutral
MatchupTEX vs STLopponent
Sample1599.333career MLB IP
PROPS 2 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 8 rows
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts6.5
P 32.9
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 32.9% Market -- Gap +10.8pp
FanDuel 118 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs17.5
P 46.3
F 46.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 46.3% Market 61.2% Gap +10.9pp
FanDuel -158 tracking Open board
Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%5.0%
94
Barrel allowed11.5%
12 -25 vs proj
Fastball velo97.1
89
Hard-hit allowed46.2%
11
K%29.0%
88 +16 vs proj
Whiff%32.5%
94 +26 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.312
51
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Mithrandir Stuff+111
98

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range19.5% to 34.1%
Opponent K21.6%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-01
Palantir 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d error falling
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)