Reference layer
Current snapshot
| MLB bio context is unavailable. |
Player profile / SEA
Colt Emerson
Player · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 0", 195 lb · Age 21
Club SEA
Position --
Roster profile
Status IL-60
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 241 | 24 | 42 | 8 | 3 | .190 | .246 | .335 | .581 |
| 1 Seasons | 241 | 24 | 42 | 8 | 3 | .190 | .246 | .335 | .581 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
29
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.270 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.248 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.258 |
| Observed weight | 53% |
xwOBA
0.209
0.232
0.258
0.284
0.308
wOBA
0.247
0.264
0.283
0.302
0.320
ISO
0.097
0.119
0.143
0.167
0.189
K%
23.5%
26.5%
29.8%
33.1%
36.1%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.2%
27
Exit velocity85.9
28
Hard-hit%31.7%
22
-15 vs proj
xBA0.314
45
xSLG0.480
44
xwOBA0.248
8
-45 vs proj
BB%6.8%
31
-22 vs proj
Bat speed70.7
67
K%33.7%
5
-28 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · SS
45
Arm Strength88.9 · SS
65
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · SS
19
Range Runs-3.3 · SS
22
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.0 · SS
38
SB Success Rate66.7% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.2% · rebadged research
44
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.0% · rebadged research
73
Correct Decisions67.6% · rebadged research
66
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.315 · borderline
15
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
32
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.288 · validated thin sample
28
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.322 · insufficient sample
58
Resists FastballwOBA 0.335 · validated
57
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.373 · validated
19
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
55
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
56 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.056 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.021 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Emerson’s wOBA sits at 0.283, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.248 — a gap of 0.035, -1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 249 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 10 | 2026-08-13 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.095 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.304 xwOBA | 6 HR | Projection |