Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cleveland Guardians Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cleveland Guardians

Parker Messick

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
14
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Cleveland Guardians Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason3.91
ERA current pace2.24
ERA rolling p502.96
Observed weight57%
ERA
1.97 2.44 2.96 3.48 3.94
FIP
2.94 3.31 3.71 4.11 4.47
K%
22.2% 23.5% 25.1% 26.6% 28.0%
BB%
4.6% 5.4% 6.3% 7.1% 7.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%6.9%
75 -16 vs proj
Barrel allowed7.1%
60
Fastball velo93.0
27
Hard-hit allowed37.9%
58
K%26.3%
76 +29 vs proj
Whiff%23.8%
58
xwOBA allowed0.286
75 +24 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+101
39
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Messick, Parker · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.2812026-05-19: 0.2812026-05-21: 0.2852026-05-23: 0.2852026-05-24: 0.2852026-05-25: 0.2852026-05-26: 0.2852026-05-28: 0.2852026-05-29: 0.2852026-05-30: 0.2852026-05-31: 0.2852026-06-01: 0.286 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 31%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Messick, Parker · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 47%47%Hard hit allowed: 38%38% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Messick, Parker · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 31.4%Changeup: 23.8%Sinker: 15.6%Curveball: 11.1%Slider: 9.2%Cutter: 8.8% MIX FF 31%CH 24%SI 16%CU 11%SL 9%FC 9% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Messick, Parker · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.2, IVB 1.2FFCH: HB -1.0, IVB 3.0CHSI: HB -0.2, IVB 1.8SICU: HB 0.8, IVB 4.2CUSL: HB -0.3, IVB 2.7SLFC: HB 0.1, IVB 1.9FC horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 29.9% 297 104 qualified
CH 24.2% 240 99 qualified
SI 16.1% 160 102 limited sample
CB 11.4% 113 103 limited sample
FC 9.4% 93 96 limited sample
SL 9.0% 89 100 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age25
Height6' 0"
Weight225 lb
Debut2025-08-20
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.53
K% Δ+0.046

positive regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching142026-05-244-Seam Fastball played up through CH/CU tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202621.7% K | 3.77 ERAProjection
2026-04-11 @ ATL0 ER / 5 K6.2 IP
2026-04-05 vs CHC1 ER / 6 K5.0 IP
2026-03-30 @ LAD0 ER / 5 K6.0 IP