Mithrandir Metrics
Player Kansas City Royals Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Kansas City Royals

Noah Cameron

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 3", 220 lb · Age 27

Cards
16
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Kansas City Royals Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2025972.9924240138.11141.10
2026574.891818095.2911.42
2 Seasons14143.7742420234.02051.23
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
37
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
35
Arsenal7 metrics
56
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
ERA preseason4.14
ERA current pace4.89
ERA rolling p504.63
Observed weight65%
ERA
3.53 4.05 4.63 5.21 5.73
FIP
3.60 3.95 4.34 4.73 5.08
K%
18.3% 19.3% 20.4% 21.6% 22.6%
BB%
6.3% 6.9% 7.6% 8.3% 9.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.45
26
ERA4.89
27
BB%7.7%
65
K%21.4%
42 +17 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.342
24
Barrel allowed10.3%
17 -36 vs proj
Fastball velo92.2
18
Hard-hit allowed39.2%
48
Whiff%22.6%
47
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-16
Changeup Stuff+103
57
Curveball Stuff+101
37
Cutter Stuff+102
51
Fastball Stuff+103
51
Mithrandir Stuff+102
48
Sinker Stuff+106
80
Slider Stuff+104
65
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Cameron, Noah · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.342 2026-07-05: 0.3402026-07-06: 0.3402026-07-07: 0.3402026-07-08: 0.3402026-07-09: 0.3402026-07-10: 0.3402026-07-11: 0.3402026-07-12: 0.3402026-07-13: 0.3422026-07-14: 0.3422026-07-15: 0.3422026-07-16: 0.342 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

7Pitches 2026Season 28%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Cameron, Noah · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 48%48%Hard hit allowed: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cameron, Noah · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 27.9%Changeup: 20.9%Cutter: 20.1%Curveball: 17.2%Slider: 9.8%Sinker: 4.0% FF28% · 92 mphprimary pitch FF 28%CH 21%FC 20%CU 17%SL 10%SI 4% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cameron, Noah · 2026 arsenal snapshot 24″48″72″96″ 4-Seam Fastball: 28% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 92.4 mphFF92 mphChangeup: 21% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 80.9 mphCH81 mphCutter: 20% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 89.4 mphFC89 mphCurveball: 17% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 50″ drop, 81.7 mphCU82 mphSlider: 10% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 85.1 mphSL85 mphSinker: 4% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 21″ drop, 91.4 mphSI91 mphEephus: 0% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 94″ drop, 57.4 mphEP57 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 29.1% 365 103 qualified
CH 21.0% 263 103 qualified
FC 19.6% 246 102 qualified
CB 16.3% 205 101 qualified
SL 10.6% 133 104 limited sample
SI 3.4% 43 106 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 3"
Weight220 lb
Debut2025-04-30
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.25
K% Δ+0.026

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.4σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.380
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.342

Cameron’s wOBA-against sits at 0.380, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.342 — a gap of 0.038, 1.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 98 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching162026-07-11Curveball played up through CH/FC tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202618.8% K | 4.64 ERAProjection
2026-04-12 vs CWS5 ER / 4 K5.1 IP
2026-04-07 @ CLE1 ER / 5 K5.2 IP
2026-04-01 vs MIN1 ER / 5 K5.0 IP